chore: repo hygiene — stale gitignore entries, finished plans, superseded research, doc drift

Removed (all recoverable from git history):
- llm_provider_switch_plan.txt: 2026-08-08 DeepSeek/Anthropic multi-provider plan that
  was never implemented (llm_client.py is DeepSeek-only, no `anthropic` anywhere)
- docs/superpowers/specs/2026-07-21-centralized-config-design.md: spec of the
  config.json migration that merged the same day; its plan sibling was already
  deleted in b936d44. app_config's docstring pointer goes with it.
- scripts/compare_oanda_tiingo.py: Phase 0 recent-tail smoke test, superseded by the
  Phase 1/2 study scripts (result recorded in the test plan)
- backtest/research/fetch_oanda_m15.py + oanda_td_divergence.py + its by-hour CSV:
  the 2026-07-24 Oanda-vs-Twelve-Data study, superseded by the 2026-08-14 feed
  divergence report (which keeps a one-line citation)
- backtest/research/burst_profile.py and hour_analysis.py: superseded by burst_map.py
  and book_report.py
- backtest/research/panel_payload_drytest_2026-08-15.py: one-off live DeepSeek probe;
  its .jsonl evidence stays

Added to git: the three 2026-08-14 research reports (feed divergence, re-pin
verification, signal parity), their CSV, and docs/data_source_change_test_plan.md -
CLAUDE.md cites them as standing evidence and their driver scripts were already
committed. The test plan no longer refers to auto-execution.

Hygiene:
- .gitignore: drop oanda_state.json (daemon removed 2026-09-03) and the vanished
  backtest/trailgrid dirs; ignore .coverage
- docs/architecture_diagram.py only writes the PNG when run as a script (it used
  to plot on import); test box refreshed to 461 tests / 31 modules; PNG regenerated
  (the committed one still drew the removed daemon)
- backtest/instructions_for_backtest.txt: manual-journal head replaced by the
  actual reporting checklist; the 2026-09-06 addendum is unchanged
- doc drift: README/publisher list all six published files; news_summary.php says
  4 h (not 24 h) and drops the pre-id sha1 fallback whose window closed;
  analyze_signal_log lists six lenses and --scan-outcomes; agent_panel cost model
  says 4 requests by default; tiingo comment cites the NY-anchored weekend;
  Module 21 title no longer says "execution lifecycle"

Suite: 461 passed, 0 failed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_0156YhogLytzj9P2iH1skGbL
This commit is contained in:
Harwinder Sekhon
2026-09-06 17:01:07 -04:00
parent a326777c42
commit 1f44d6bad6
30 changed files with 330 additions and 1356 deletions
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@@ -1,61 +1,21 @@
Note down entery and exit Why we took trade?
What were each indicator signal on that specific time when we took trade
How many indicators agreed at trade time
Always backtest using engine.py and signal_aggregator.py
Dont take trades on weekends and Fridays
Keep TP small 1.3 Reward ratio
At the end of test make table of results and print all values you observed.
Trade context
Time of day and trading session (Asian/London/NY/overlap)
Day of week (track Mon/Tue/Wed/Thu performance separately)
Market regime at entry: trending, ranging, or choppy (use ATR or ADX)
Volatility level (ATR value or ATR percentile vs recent average)
Pair/instrument traded
News proximity (high-impact news within 30 min before/after entry)
Trade execution details
Spread at entry in pips
Slippage on entry and exit (planned vs actual fill)
Time in trade (minutes/hours from entry to exit)
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE): how far against you it went
Maximum Favorable Excursion (MFE): how far in profit before pullback
Risk metrics
Max consecutive losses (streak)
Max consecutive wins (streak)
Expectancy: (Win% x Avg Win) minus (Loss% x Avg Loss)
Expectancy per hour in trade
Recovery factor: Total R divided by Max DD
Indicator/signal analysis
Each indicator's standalone win rate when it agreed with the trade
Confluence level performance (2 vs 3 vs 4+ indicators agreeing)
Which indicator disagreed on losing trades (find the "canary")
Decision quality
Rate each setup A/B/C at entry, before knowing outcome
Verify A-grade setups actually win more often
Track system trades vs discretionary deviations separately
Process notes
Screenshot or chart snapshot at entry and exit
Emotional state (calm, FOMO, revenge, tired)
What would have happened if you held longer or exited sooner
Aggregate analysis at end of backtest
Equity curve, not just total R
Performance breakdown by session, day, volatility regime
Win rate over rolling 20-trade windows (check for edge decay)
Critical extra
"Do not trade" log: setups flagged but skipped, and what happened after
Backtest reporting checklist — ForexBot2 (XAU/USD)
==================================================
Every backtest report must record:
- The exact command line (window, --primary-tf, --spread, and any --set /
--quality / --strategies / --confirm-tfs overrides) and the "Backend:" log line.
- Trades, total R, win rate, profit factor and max drawdown for the whole
window AND for both halves, at both cost conventions ($0.65 measured-Oanda
headline, $0.30 cross-book comparability) — CLAUDE.md rule 1.
- Per trade (the exported CSV already carries these): entry/exit time and
price, exit reason, R multiple, MFE/MAE, entry reasons, and every
indicator's signal / value / agreement at decision time.
- Breakdowns by session/hour, weekday, regime and volatility regime
(backtest/research/book_report.py) and, for any candidate change, the
removed/added/shifted trade diff against the control book
(backtest/research/book_diff.py).
- The md5 of the exported book whenever the run is a parity or regression check.
Replays go through the real signal code (analyze_from_dataframes) — never a
re-implementation.
--- 2026-09-06: decision-time feature export ---