Remove OANDA_MIGRATION_ROADMAP.md (reference-only doc, superseded)

Deletion was already staged in the working tree by the owner; the
roadmap was approved 2026-07-24 as reference only and its plan file
lives outside the repo. Content remains in git history.

Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01UnZkzeFcTu9agFg8BDh2tn
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Harwinder Sekhon
2026-08-04 20:26:54 -04:00
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# Full Migration to Oanda v20 as Market-Data Source — Roadmap
**Status: partially executed (updated 2026-08-03).** Phases 1–2 shipped 2026-07-28 via the `providers/` package refactor and the live feed switched to Oanda (`data_providers.active: "oanda"`). Phases 3–6 remain unbuilt: the level-breach stream monitor is simply disabled for Oanda, and the pinned backtest books are still Twelve-Data-pinned at the $0.30 cost assumption. Owner decision 2026-07-24 stands: Twelve Data is a **permanent fallback** (no removal phase).
## Context
The daemon already executes trades on an Oanda practice account, and since 2026-07-28 the signal feed (Telegram bot, CLI, backtester) also runs on Oanda. Oanda's API is free with no metering (120 req/s vs TD's 55 credits/min), serves real bid/ask spreads, and matches the actual trading calendar. The 2026-07-24 divergence study (`backtest/research/oanda_td_divergence.py`) proved the switch is **not plumbing-only**: steady-state bars differ by median $0.69 (11% of M15 ATR), bar direction agrees only 89.9%, TD prints ~4,000 phantom Saturday bars/yr + 21:00 UTC rollover bars that contaminate Monday indicator windows, and Oanda's real spread (~$0.72 liquid / $0.84 rollover) is ~2.4× the $0.30 the validated books assume. So the migration = plumbing (Phases 1–3, inert) + shadow evidence (4) + book re-validation with owner gates (5) + reversible cutover (6). CLAUDE.md rules 1 (no tuned-value change without re-validation) and 4 (live == backtest parity) govern throughout.
**Master sequencing rule:** Phases 1–3 land inert behind `data_providers.active == "twelve_data"`. Nothing changes live behavior until the Phase 6 config flip, which stays reversible forever (TD is a permanent fallback).
## Phase 1 — Provider plumbing (inert)
Files: `oanda_provider.py`, `data_provider.py`, `config.py`, `config.json.example`.
1. **Constructor self-resolution**: `OandaDataProvider.__init__(config, api_token=None, base_url=None)` — defaults resolve via existing `app_config.oanda_api_token()` / `oanda_base_url()`; explicit args keep `oanda_daemon.py:180` working. Fail lazily at first fetch (mirror ForexDataProvider's `_td is None` pattern) so credential-less construction doesn't break the hermetic test header.
2. **Registry**: add `"oanda": OandaDataProvider` to `PROVIDER_REGISTRY` (`data_provider.py:392`); import at bottom of `data_provider.py` (one-direction edge, no cycle — `oanda_provider` must never import from `data_provider`). Add `PROVIDER_NAME` class attr to both providers. Cutover config needs an `"oanda": {}` block under `data_providers` (creds stay in the existing top-level `oanda` section / env).
3. **Dedupe shared constants**: move `CANDLE_SECONDS` / `BARS_PER_DAY` to `config.py`, alias as class attrs in both providers — all existing call sites (`signal_aggregator.py:18,217,640,942`, `telegram_bot.py:1062`, `gpu_backtest.py:975,1706`, tests) keep working unchanged. Also move `_is_forex_weekend` to `config.py` eventually (currently duplicated + sync-tested).
4. **`_fetch_window(symbol, tf, start, end)`** on both providers — the backtester's common interface. Contract: raw closed bars labeled in [start, end], oldest-first, capitalized OHLCV, UTC index; empty DataFrame (not exception) for empty windows; caller keeps windows ≤ ~4500 bars. TD: thin wrapper over existing `_fetch_twelve_data(start_date=, end_date=)` (keep its exception behavior byte-identical). Oanda: new `from`/`to` RFC3339 request (`price=MBA, dailyAlignment=0, alignmentTimezone=Etc/UTC`); refactor `_fetch_oanda_candles`'s parsing body (complete-filter, mid extraction, spread cache) into a shared `_parse_candles()`. The from+count quirk (Oanda's `count` includes the boundary bar; see `backtest/research/fetch_oanda_m15.py`) does not apply to from/to windows. Add a no-op-by-construction `_drop_forming_candle` to OandaDataProvider (`gpu_backtest.py:1025` calls it unconditionally). No throttle needed for Oanda.
5. **Tests (extend Module 15)**: registry selection; constructor self-resolution + explicit-args-win; `_fetch_window` both providers (mock `_session.get` / `_fetch_twelve_data`); CANDLE_SECONDS/BARS_PER_DAY cross-provider sync; provider-contract hasattr test covering everything callers reach for (`fetch_ohlcv, get_pair_info, clear_cache, _is_data_fresh, _has_latest_closed_bar, _validate_and_clean, _drop_forming_candle, _fetch_window, CANDLE_SECONDS, BARS_PER_DAY, _cache, _cache_timestamps, PROVIDER_NAME`); port Module 11's two cache/boundary tests (`test_all.py:2278,2313`) to Oanda variants patching `_fetch_oanda_candles`. Tests that swap `set_app_config` must restore `_TEST_APP` in `finally`.
## Phase 2 — Backtester provider-agnosticism
File: `backtest/gpu_backtest.py` (`fetch_history`, lines 943–1036).
1. Line 984: `provider._fetch_twelve_data(...)` → `provider._fetch_window(...)`. Keep the backward-stepping chunk loop, `empty_streak` bail, cursor stepping byte-identical (rule 6 — this loop produced every pinned cache).
2. Lines 975/1706: `ForexDataProvider.BARS_PER_DAY` → `provider.BARS_PER_DAY`.
3. **Provider-namespaced cache keys** in `_cache_path` (line 938): TD keeps legacy names (pinned parquets stay loadable, needed for A/B), Oanda gets `oanda_` prefix (`oanda_XAU_USD_15min_....parquet`) — no collisions. Comment the asymmetry.
4. `clean=True/False` raw-path semantics untouched.
5. **Verification before merge**: one M15 12-month TD replay pre/post commit — trade books must be identical. **Alignment audit**: fetch one month of Oanda H4 + D1 via `_fetch_window`, assert label sets match TD's cached labels (H4 at 00/04/08 UTC, D1 at 00:00 UTC) — a mismatch would silently shift every MTF confirmation.
6. Tests: `fetch_history` dispatch with a stub provider (concat/dedupe/trim, clean=False skips cleaning); `_cache_path` namespacing regression.
## Phase 3 — Telegram bot: TD WebSocket → Oanda pricing stream
File: `telegram_bot.py`; new resolver in `app_config.py`.
1. New `oanda_stream_url()` resolver: env `OANDA_STREAM_URL` → config.json `oanda.stream_url` (add to `_KNOWN_OANDA`) → derived `oanda_base_url().replace("api-", "stream-", 1)`.
2. Pure parser `_parse_stream_line(line) -> Optional[(pair_symbol, mid_price)]`: type==PRICE → mid from closeoutBid/Ask (fallback bids[0]/asks[0]); HEARTBEAT/garbage → None. `_STREAM_TO_PAIR` from `OandaDataProvider.OANDA_INSTRUMENT` (replaces TD-display-keyed `_WS_TO_PAIR`).
3. Reader thread (no new deps): `requests.get(.../v3/accounts/{id}/pricing/stream?instruments=..., stream=True, timeout=(10,30))`, iterate `iter_lines(chunk_size=1)` — **chunk_size=1 is load-bearing** (urllib3 buffering vs 5s server heartbeats); push lines to asyncio queue via `loop.call_soon_threadsafe`; interrupt a blocked read with `resp.close()` from the async side.
4. Async monitor `_oanda_stream_monitor`: dedicated thread (NOT the 4-worker scan executor), `await asyncio.wait_for(queue.get(), timeout=15)` as staleness watchdog (3× server heartbeat) → reconnect with existing exponential-backoff pattern. PRICE lines feed the identical existing body: `_check_level_breach` → `_handle_breach` → M15 rescan, 5-min cooldown. No client heartbeat.
5. **Provider-gated selection** in `_start_scheduler` (line 889): `active_provider == "oanda"` → stream monitor, else existing `_ws_monitor`. This is the rollback hinge and stays permanently (TD fallback). `_stop_scheduler` must stop the reader thread. Generalize `/status` labels (`_status_text` iterates `SCAN_PAIRS`, not `_WS_TO_PAIR`).
6. Tests: `_parse_stream_line` variants (PRICE/closeout, PRICE/arrays, HEARTBEAT, malformed, unknown instrument); `_STREAM_TO_PAIR` round-trip; monitor selection under both `active` values; watchdog-reconnect (structure one connection lifecycle as a testable inner coroutine).
## Phase 4 — Shadow / parity evidence (3–4 weeks, no hot-path code)
The daemon already runs the full signal stack on Oanda bars. Formalize evidence before any cutover:
1. **Code parity (exact)**: replay the daemon's shadow window through the backtester on Oanda data (Phase 2 enables this); diff against daemon-logged decisions per (tf, bar_close_ts) — signal, quality, direction, entry/SL/TP. Acceptance: 100% modulo documented daemon divergences (single-position rule, quality gate). Any mismatch is a bug, not feed noise.
2. **Feed divergence (measured, not zero-gated)**: `backtest/research/shadow_compare.py` parses `logs/telegram.log` + daemon log into per-scan rows: signal agreement rate, direction flips, grade drift, clustering by hour/weekday. Expect high-single-digit % divergence concentrated near grade thresholds and Monday sessions (TD Saturday/rollover bars). Deliverable: written note attributing every divergence class.
3. **Operational telemetry**: boundary grace-retry frequency (is Oanda's just-closed bar present at boundary+10s?), `get_spread()` time series (live input to the Phase 5 cost decision), stream disconnect counts, Monday-open indicator snapshots TD-vs-Oanda.
4. **Owner note**: at cutover the data feed host family should match the execution host (practice vs live pricing can micro-differ).
## Phase 5 — Re-validation campaign (rule 1, owner gates)
Fetch Oanda history (M5/M15/H1/H4/D1, 2020-07 → present; Oanda XAU reaches ~2005). Run matrix per primary TF (M5/M15/H1, current factory configs): 12-mo train/val halves, 5-yr, OOS 2024-06→2025-03 — each at `--spread 0.30` (pure feed-effect A/B vs pinned TD books), `0.70` (honest Oanda cost), `0.85` (rollover stress). Caution: Jul–Nov 2025 is provider-sensitive (weekly offsets −$6..+$18.5) — lean on 5-yr + OOS for decisions. Acceptance unchanged: positive both halves, PF ≥ 1.3, trailing exits, next-open fills, OOS positive.
**Owner decision gates (never silent):**
1. **Canonical cost** — (a) `round_trip_cost=0.70` everywhere (moves the live TP1 spread gate $9→$21 — a strategy re-tune); (b) `default_spread=0.70` for backtest PnL but retune `min_tp_cost_multiple` 30→~13 to preserve the validated $9 gate; (c) keep $0.30 with documented optimism (only if $0.70 books pass anyway). Full acceptance matrix at chosen values.
2. **Degradation handling** per failing TF: re-run tuning grids on Oanda data / drop TF from `scanning.timeframes` / keep Oanda execution-only (status quo).
3. **Re-pin**: passing books become the new pinned CSVs + factory-docstring evidence; CLAUDE.md tuned-value annotations update in the cutover commit, not before.
Files (per decisions): `pair_signals/xauusd.py`, `config.py` (`PAIR_INFO.default_spread`, `SignalConfig.round_trip_cost`/`min_tp_cost_multiple`), `test_all.py` tuned-constant assertions, CLAUDE.md.
## Phase 6 — Cutover (reversible forever; no TD removal)
1. config.json: `data_providers.active: "oanda"` + `"oanda": {}` block; restart bot. Everything flips through two seams: `make_data_provider` (bot shared dp, CLI, backtester) and the Phase 3 monitor selector. Any Phase 5 tuned-value changes land in this commit with their validation records.
2. **Bake ≥1 week** (full weekly cycle incl. Monday open): grace-retry rate, stream stability, alert plausibility vs daemon, `/cache` freshness.
3. **Rollback = flip `active` back** — TD code, key, caches, and WS monitor all stay maintained indefinitely (owner decision). Dual-provider posture: cross-provider sync tests (Phase 1) keep both honest; TD subscription/key must stay valid to remain a real fallback.
4. Docs: CLAUDE.md (pipeline header, data_provider section, env-var table + `OANDA_STREAM_URL`, backtester cache note, comparability note: "pre-Oanda books are TD-feed books"), `docs/` guides if they name the data source.
## Key risks
1. **Cost-gate coupling**: naively setting `round_trip_cost=0.70` silently moves the live $9 TP1 gate to $21 — owner gate 5.1 exists precisely for this.
2. **Cutover before re-pinning** — feed divergence is material (11% of ATR, 10% direction flips); sequencing rule prevents it.
3. **Hermetic test header** — `_TEST_APP` pins twelve_data; provider-swapping tests must restore it or later modules fail mysteriously.
4. **Stream liveness triad** — `chunk_size=1`, `resp.close()` interruption, 15s watchdog.
5. **H4/D1 alignment** — audit before trusting any Oanda backtest.
6. **Monday/rollover divergence class** — attribute in Phase 4 evidence; do not "fix".
## Verification (per phase)
- Phases 1–3: `python test_all.py` green (235 + new); live behavior provably unchanged (TD active).
- Phase 2: pre/post TD book identity diff; Oanda H4/D1 alignment audit.
- Phase 3: soak a second bot instance with `active=oanda` scratch config; observe stream reconnects in log.
- Phase 5: full acceptance matrix, owner sign-offs recorded in factory docstrings.
- Phase 6: 1-week bake checklist above; rollback drill (flip back, confirm TD scan cycle) once during bake.