Pro tier upgrade: quant rearchitect + WebSocket level-breach monitor

- Restore XAU/USD (Pro plan), drop USD/CAD, raise rate limit to 55/min
- Reduce signal engine to 4 uncorrelated pillars (EMA, RSI, BB, Candlestick)
  with regime-adaptive weights (trending boosts EMA, ranging boosts RSI+BB)
- Add structure-based S/R (swing highs/lows) for trade setup targeting
- Fix confidence death spiral: all adjustments now additive, not multiplicative
- Dynamic R:R trade setup: SL behind swing level, TP at next structure level,
  reject if R:R < 1.5
- Fix news engine for all 4 pairs (was hardcoded to USDJPY)
- Add WebSocket monitor: streams live ticks, triggers M15 scan on level breach
  with 5-min cooldown per pair — catches breakouts between candle boundaries
- Add correlation filter (EUR/USD+GBP/USD, XAU/USD+USD/JPY exposure warnings)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
harwinder
2026-05-11 16:33:23 -04:00
parent a15dc40050
commit dc9c76a716
8 changed files with 435 additions and 196 deletions
+60 -33
View File
@@ -334,54 +334,44 @@ class SignalAggregator:
score = report.primary_score
confidence = report.primary_confidence
# MTF
if report.mtf_agreement:
confidence = min(confidence + 15, 95)
confidence += 10
all_scores = list(report.mtf_scores.values())
if all_scores:
mtf_avg = sum(all_scores) / len(all_scores)
score = score * 0.6 + mtf_avg * 0.4
else:
confidence *= 0.7
confidence -= 15
if len(report.mtf_scores) >= 2:
scores = list(report.mtf_scores.values())
has_bull = any(s > 10 for s in scores)
has_bear = any(s < -10 for s in scores)
if has_bull and has_bear:
report.warnings.append("Timeframes CONFLICT — mixed signals across timeframes")
confidence *= 0.6
# News sentiment
if abs(report.news_sentiment) > 0.2:
if (report.news_sentiment > 0 and score > 0) or \
(report.news_sentiment < 0 and score < 0):
confidence = min(confidence + 5, 95)
confidence += 5
elif (report.news_sentiment > 0 and score < -10) or \
(report.news_sentiment < 0 and score > 10):
report.warnings.append("News sentiment CONFLICTS with technical signal")
confidence *= 0.85
confidence -= 10
# Event risk
if report.event_risk == "danger":
report.warnings.append(f"EVENT RISK: {report.event_description}")
confidence *= 0.3
confidence = min(confidence, 30)
report.action_recommendation = f"WAIT — {report.event_description}"
elif report.event_risk == "caution":
report.warnings.append(f"Upcoming event: {report.event_description}")
confidence *= 0.7
confidence -= 15
# Volatility regime
if report.volatility_regime == "extreme":
report.warnings.append("EXTREME volatility — wider stops needed, reduced position size")
confidence *= 0.8
confidence -= 10
elif report.volatility_regime == "low":
report.warnings.append("Low volatility — potential for breakout, tight ranges")
# EMA200 distance gate — empirically the strongest single discriminator
# across 2024 trend / 2023 chop / 2026 hostile windows. Sweet spot is
# 0.5–1.5% from EMA200: closer = false-breakout chop, farther = chase.
# Within band keeps confidence; outside band cuts it sharply so the
# trade falls below the B-grade threshold and is rejected.
primary = report.primary_analysis
if primary is not None:
ema200 = primary.key_levels.get("ema_trend")
@@ -389,17 +379,18 @@ class SignalAggregator:
ema_dist_pct = abs(report.current_price - ema200) / ema200 * 100.0
_lo = float(os.environ.get("FB2_EMA_LO", "0.5"))
_hi = float(os.environ.get("FB2_EMA_HI", "1.5"))
_mult = float(os.environ.get("FB2_EMA_MULT", "0.55"))
if ema_dist_pct < _lo:
report.warnings.append(
f"NEAR EMA200 ({ema_dist_pct:.2f}%) — chop risk, signal damped"
f"NEAR EMA200 ({ema_dist_pct:.2f}%) — chop risk"
)
confidence *= _mult
confidence -= 20
elif ema_dist_pct > _hi:
report.warnings.append(
f"FAR FROM EMA200 ({ema_dist_pct:.2f}%) — over-extended, signal damped"
f"FAR FROM EMA200 ({ema_dist_pct:.2f}%) — over-extended"
)
confidence *= _mult
confidence -= 20
confidence = max(0.0, min(95.0, confidence))
# Final signal
if score >= 40 and confidence >= 65:
@@ -452,21 +443,57 @@ class SignalAggregator:
return None
is_buy = report.final_signal in (SignalStrength.BUY, SignalStrength.STRONG_BUY)
rr = self.config.signals.default_rr_ratio
sl_mult = self.config.signals.atr_sl_multiplier
sl_distance = atr * sl_mult
tp1_distance = sl_distance * rr
tp2_distance = sl_distance * rr * 1.5
levels = report.primary_analysis.key_levels
min_rr = self.config.signals.min_rr_ratio
if is_buy:
entry, sl = price, price - sl_distance
tp1, tp2 = price + tp1_distance, price + tp2_distance
swing_lows = sorted(
[v for k, v in levels.items() if k.startswith("swing_low_") and v < price],
reverse=True,
)
if swing_lows:
sl_price = swing_lows[0] - atr * 0.5
else:
sl_price = price - atr * 1.5
if price - sl_price < atr * 1.0:
sl_price = price - atr * 1.0
swing_highs = sorted(
v for k, v in levels.items() if k.startswith("swing_high_") and v > price + atr * 0.3
)
tp1 = swing_highs[0] if len(swing_highs) >= 1 else price + atr * 2.0
tp2 = swing_highs[1] if len(swing_highs) >= 2 else price + atr * 3.0
sl_distance = price - sl_price
direction = "BUY"
entry, sl = price, sl_price
else:
entry, sl = price, price + sl_distance
tp1, tp2 = price - tp1_distance, price - tp2_distance
swing_highs = sorted(
v for k, v in levels.items() if k.startswith("swing_high_") and v > price
)
if swing_highs:
sl_price = swing_highs[0] + atr * 0.5
else:
sl_price = price + atr * 1.5
if sl_price - price < atr * 1.0:
sl_price = price + atr * 1.0
swing_lows = sorted(
[v for k, v in levels.items() if k.startswith("swing_low_") and v < price - atr * 0.3],
reverse=True,
)
tp1 = swing_lows[0] if len(swing_lows) >= 1 else price - atr * 2.0
tp2 = swing_lows[1] if len(swing_lows) >= 2 else price - atr * 3.0
sl_distance = sl_price - price
direction = "SELL"
entry, sl = price, sl_price
tp1_distance = abs(tp1 - entry)
rr = tp1_distance / sl_distance if sl_distance > 0 else 0
if rr < min_rr:
return None
risk_pips = sl_distance / pip_value
reward_pips = tp1_distance / pip_value
@@ -479,7 +506,7 @@ class SignalAggregator:
stop_loss=sl,
take_profit_1=tp1,
take_profit_2=tp2,
risk_reward=rr,
risk_reward=round(rr, 2),
risk_pips=risk_pips,
reward_pips=reward_pips,
pip_value=pip_value,