violent-move watch: display-only warning line + owner heads-up (dark by default)

New violent_watch.py assesses each scan from the cached Forex Factory week events, the
UTC clock and the report's own indicator states, and stamps SignalReport.watch_line
post-hoc (telegram alerts, CLI, dashboard). A standalone heads-up goes to the owner on
the fastest scanned timeframe when the level is "hot", once per UTC hour per trigger
set, capped per day. Config block `violent_watch` (enabled False, alert_line, headsup,
max_headsup_per_day, headsup_min_level); env VIOLENT_WATCH_ENABLED.

Rule chosen from a 3-year bar-by-bar sweep (backtest/research/watch_rule_eval.py,
recorded in sizing_campaign_2026-09.md): hot = high-impact USD release within 30 min
(before or after) OR a hot clock slot (weekday 12-14 UTC, 01 UTC, Sunday 22-23 UTC)
with at least one price-extreme reading (outside Bollinger bands, RSI <30/>=70, outside
Keltner); ~8.6% of bars, next-bar odds 3-5x normal, ~4 hot hours/day. watch = clock
slot alone or two price-extreme readings (~2x). Context readings (ADX rising, extreme
volatility, transitioning, MACD acceleration) are phrases only - letting them raise the
level flagged 27% of bars at ~2x and would have sent ~13 heads-ups/day (rejected).
Direction sentence: DOWN when bearish readings dominate (70-78% on both TFs), UP on M5
only. Never a gate or exit: every open-trade protection tested lost money.

Test-locked out of analyze_from_dataframes / engine / backtester. Module 30 (18 tests).
Suite: 453 passed. Guide PDFs not rebuilt.

Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01RWV2yLt3YXHHGVYHSQU2EE

main.py

@@ -22,10 +22,12 @@ if hasattr(sys.stderr, "reconfigure"):
     sys.stderr.reconfigure(encoding="utf-8")
 
 from agent_panel import attach_panel
+from app_config import get_app_config, violent_watch_enabled
 from config import PlatformConfig, Timeframe, SignalStrength, XAUUSD
 from market_outlook import OutlookResult, maybe_run_outlook
 from pair_signals import PAIR_PRODUCERS
 from signal_aggregator import SignalAggregator, SignalReport
+from violent_watch import attach_watch
 
 
 # ══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
@@ -160,6 +162,8 @@ def print_signal_report(report: SignalReport, detail: bool = False):
     if report.warnings:
         for w in report.warnings:
             print(f"  {Colors.YELLOW}⚠{Colors.RESET}  {w}")
+    if report.watch_line:
+        print(f"  {Colors.YELLOW}🌪{Colors.RESET} {report.watch_line}")
     if report.event_description and report.event_risk != "clear":
         print(f"  {Colors.YELLOW}📅{Colors.RESET} {report.event_description}")
     if report.news_description and report.news_description != "Neutral news sentiment":
@@ -246,6 +250,7 @@ def report_to_dict(report: SignalReport) -> dict:
         "panel_created_at": report.panel_created_at,
         "panel_cache_status": report.panel_cache_status,
         "panel_payload_hash": report.panel_payload_hash,
+        "watch_line": report.watch_line,
         "bullish_reasons": report.bullish_reasons,
         "bearish_reasons": report.bearish_reasons,
         "warnings": report.warnings,
@@ -373,6 +378,12 @@ def run_live(args, config: PlatformConfig):
     if getattr(args, "panel", False):
         attach_panel(report, surface="cli", force=True)
 
+    # Display-only violent-move watch (dark by default; never touches
+    # the signal, only report.watch_line).
+    if violent_watch_enabled():
+        attach_watch(report, config.primary_timeframe,
+                     get_app_config().violent_watch_settings)
+
     outlook = None
     if getattr(args, "outlook", False):
         outlook = maybe_run_outlook(surface="cli", force=True)