violent-move watch: display-only warning line + owner heads-up (dark by default)

New violent_watch.py assesses each scan from the cached Forex Factory week events, the
UTC clock and the report's own indicator states, and stamps SignalReport.watch_line
post-hoc (telegram alerts, CLI, dashboard). A standalone heads-up goes to the owner on
the fastest scanned timeframe when the level is "hot", once per UTC hour per trigger
set, capped per day. Config block `violent_watch` (enabled False, alert_line, headsup,
max_headsup_per_day, headsup_min_level); env VIOLENT_WATCH_ENABLED.

Rule chosen from a 3-year bar-by-bar sweep (backtest/research/watch_rule_eval.py,
recorded in sizing_campaign_2026-09.md): hot = high-impact USD release within 30 min
(before or after) OR a hot clock slot (weekday 12-14 UTC, 01 UTC, Sunday 22-23 UTC)
with at least one price-extreme reading (outside Bollinger bands, RSI <30/>=70, outside
Keltner); ~8.6% of bars, next-bar odds 3-5x normal, ~4 hot hours/day. watch = clock
slot alone or two price-extreme readings (~2x). Context readings (ADX rising, extreme
volatility, transitioning, MACD acceleration) are phrases only - letting them raise the
level flagged 27% of bars at ~2x and would have sent ~13 heads-ups/day (rejected).
Direction sentence: DOWN when bearish readings dominate (70-78% on both TFs), UP on M5
only. Never a gate or exit: every open-trade protection tested lost money.

Test-locked out of analyze_from_dataframes / engine / backtester. Module 30 (18 tests).
Suite: 453 passed. Guide PDFs not rebuilt.

Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01RWV2yLt3YXHHGVYHSQU2EE
This commit is contained in:
Harwinder Sekhon
2026-09-05 21:19:24 -04:00
parent 6bf58fd9d4
commit e79b533a60
12 changed files with 986 additions and 5 deletions
+7 -1
View File
@@ -382,7 +382,13 @@ function listBlock(r) {
const group = (title, arr, cls, icon) => arr?.length
? `<div class="small text-secondary fw-semibold mt-2 mb-1">${title} (${arr.length})</div>
<div class="small">${arr.map(t => `<div class="${cls}"><i class="bi ${icon} me-1"></i>${esc(t)}</div>`).join("")}</div>` : "";
return group("Warnings", r.warnings, "text-warning", "bi-exclamation-triangle-fill")
// Violent-move watch: display-only advisory line, stamped post-hoc by
// the publisher. Empty unless the feature is enabled.
const watch = r.watch_line
? `<div class="small text-warning fw-semibold mt-2">${esc(r.watch_line)}</div>`
: "";
return watch
+ group("Warnings", r.warnings, "text-warning", "bi-exclamation-triangle-fill")
+ group("Bullish", r.bullish_reasons, "text-success", "bi-arrow-up-circle-fill")
+ group("Bearish", r.bearish_reasons, "text-danger", "bi-arrow-down-circle-fill");
}