Commit Graph

11 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Harwinder Sekhon 89734c3a87 Accuracy audit fixes: alerts carry validated per-TF trail plans + 13 more
Five-agent audit of the signal path; all fixes are delivery/measurement
side. Regression-proven behavior-neutral on validated signals: the 5yr
M15 replay reproduces the pinned book exactly (+210.65R PF 1.35
WR 57.8% MaxDD 33.90R). Tests 215 -> 221.

- TradeSetup carries trail_arm_r/trail_dist_r stamped from the producing
  config; Telegram trail plan reads them (was showing default 0.6/0.75
  instead of the validated M15 arm 0.70 / M5 dist 0.85)
- Alert dedup: fingerprint = (signal, quality, direction); entry movement
  compared against last-ALERTED entry/risk (old SL-dist bucket churned on
  ATR drift -> near-duplicate alerts every candle)
- Fresh fetches enforce the closed-bar boundary check with one 3s grace
  retry, then warn (feed lag no longer silently analyzes the prior bar)
- Backtest max DD includes the zero baseline (opening losing streaks
  were undercounted; pinned M15 DD unchanged)
- Replay loads the regime-filter TF when the H4-ADX gate is on (was a
  silent no-op for M5/M15 primaries)
- clear_cache under _cache_lock; dead ROC zero-cross branches removed
  from both engines (provably unreachable); RSS dates via
  parsedate_to_datetime (named zones no longer stamped UTC); event risk
  grades from the soonest event; .env inline comments stripped;
  auto-scan skips NEUTRAL like the breach path; report_to_dict honors
  the weight-0 skip rule and emits strategy/trail params; PB funnel
  counts spread_gate/accepted; session-filter fail-open paths log loudly
- Docs corrected to match validated code (H&S neckline = lower peak,
  exhaustion anchors farthest tracked swing) with re-validation warnings

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01R5soRUeRBi8kHMB99csrJy
2026-07-23 10:31:13 -04:00
Harwinder Sekhon 11ff49befb Remove dead code: legacy config fields, unused helpers/imports, stray files
- Delete test_ws_dual.py (standalone probe, unused) and a stale tracked log
- config.py: drop MarketSession enum, is_jpy_pair, candle_buffer_seconds,
  and the never-read legacy SignalConfig/XauStrategyConfig fields
- data_provider.py: drop uncalled get_latest_price/get_spread_estimate
- Remove unused imports (engine, telegram_bot, main, news_engine)
- test_all.py: drop/trim the corresponding defaults assertions (199 tests)
- CLAUDE.md updated to match

Zero behavior change: no production code read any removed field
(verified reference-by-reference); suite green at 199/199.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01VPNF37MP9Kuv62B1VBrZ1b
2026-07-21 14:06:55 -04:00
Harwinder Sekhon 68a62b0a53 Remove EUR/USD support — XAU/USD-only codebase
EUR/USD never had a validated edge (2026-07-11/12 verdict: no config
passed validation on M5/M15/H1 at 1-pip cost; cost-to-volatility root
cause). Removed: EurUsdStrategyConfig, pair_signals/eurusd.py, EUR
gates 6h + weekend/day filters + strategy marker + trade geometry in
signal_aggregator, EUR pair registry/aliases in main.py and
gpu_backtest.py, EUR/USD news pair mappings, test_all.py Module 10.
Generic multi-currency news keyword infra kept (GBP/JPY/EUR keyword
table is not pair code). Full EUR history remains at 7d3fd95.

Suite: 162/162 green (was 187; 25 EUR-specific tests removed).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_015kby7M9JwpYi8NQT2yoxAi
2026-07-16 14:06:27 -04:00
Harwinder Sekhon e052c7aa3e Add EUR/USD test suite + map EUR news events to EUR/USD
Module 10 (21 tests): EUR config/registry/factory, EUR filter pipeline
(regime/quality/score/confidence/RSI-extended/weekend), EUR trade
geometry (swing SL buffers, pip-denominated spread gate, per-pair gate
contrast), and cross-pair isolation regressions (XAU report bit-equal
with eur_strategy flipped; XAU gates never fire on EUR reports).

news_engine: _get_affected_pairs now maps USD events to EUR/USD too and
adds an EUR entry (calendar warnings reach EUR scans).

175/175 pass.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-10 21:06:55 -04:00
Harwinder Sekhon ec33f8b718 Overhaul news engine: fix false signals, add surprise detection + caching
Improvements from a live-verified audit of the news/calendar pipeline:

- Currency tagging: keyword matching now uses letter-boundary regexes
  and drops ambiguous "us "/"eu "/"uk " tokens — "versus" no longer
  tags headlines as USD (confirmed live false positive polluting the
  XAU/USD sentiment average).

- Fetch caching: calendar events and headlines are cached class-level
  (10 min TTL, 60s retry after empty/failed fetch, lock-guarded for
  concurrent scans). Stops per-scan refetching that was tripping the
  Forex Factory rate limit; TTL stays under the 30-min pre-event
  buffer so the danger window can't go stale.

- Surprise detection: EconomicEvent.surprise is computed from parsed
  actual vs forecast (handles %, K/M/B/T suffixes, negatives). A
  surprise print widens the post-release caution window to 45 min;
  inline releases keep the original 15 min.

- Gold-aware sentiment: headlines are scored per currency, with
  monetary-policy keywords (hawkish/rate hike/tightening vs dovish/
  rate cut/easing/stimulus) inverted for XAU — "hawkish Fed" headlines
  scored +1.0 for gold before, -1.0 now (verified on live feed).

- New sentiment sources: Google News gold-focused query and CNBC
  Economy RSS (verified live; 40 → 74 unique headlines). Added
  cross-feed title dedup so syndicated stories count once.

- events_today now buckets by UTC date (feed timestamps carry US-
  Eastern offsets); --json output includes news_description.

- Removed dead NewsConfig.min_impact and unused HIGH_IMPACT_EVENTS.

Tests: 142 passed (7 new covering boundary matching, surprise
classification, post-event windows, cache reuse, gold inversion).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-10 09:43:11 -04:00
harwinder 8ed6454ea5 Refocus on XAU/USD: add momentum indicators, tune TP, exhaustion block
Strip EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY pairs and strategies from entire codebase.
Add 3 new scored indicators (ROC, Keltner/TTM Squeeze, ADX slope) and
enable MACD-as-pillar + divergence detection for early trend entry.
Introduce "transitioning" regime (ADX < 25, slope > 3.0) to catch trend
births before ADX confirms. Gold-specific composite weights per regime.

Tune TP multipliers: quality-tiered scaling (A+/A get 1.5-2.0x ATR via
XAU ATR method, B/C use swing-level targeting). Backtest: +24R total,
65% WR, PF 1.12 over 365 days.

Add momentum-confirmed exhaustion block: hard-reject trades when 2+
static exhaustion signals fire AND ROC/MACD confirm fading momentum.
Prevents late trend entries without killing strong trend trades.

Telegram: simplify buttons to timeframe-only labels, add "Scan All TFs"
multi-timeframe summary, add /scan command, fix BB/KC level breach keys,
fix price formatting (.2f for gold), fix deprecated asyncio call, fix
"1 pairs" grammar and 60s/30s dashboard refresh mismatch.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-15 10:51:51 -04:00
harwinder 57769967d1 Fix news engine (keywords, calendar fallback, RSS URL), remove Telegram guards
News engine: expand sentiment keywords (18%→60% headline coverage), add
MyFXBook RSS as fallback calendar source when Forex Factory returns 429,
add retry/backoff on calendar API rate limits, update stale ForexLive URL
to investinglive.com, add date formats without seconds for MyFXBook RSS.

Telegram bot: remove flood control, rate limiter, and dashboard failure
tracking — all sends go directly through bot.send_message/edit_message_text.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-14 13:42:32 -04:00
harwinder dc9c76a716 Pro tier upgrade: quant rearchitect + WebSocket level-breach monitor
- Restore XAU/USD (Pro plan), drop USD/CAD, raise rate limit to 55/min
- Reduce signal engine to 4 uncorrelated pillars (EMA, RSI, BB, Candlestick)
  with regime-adaptive weights (trending boosts EMA, ranging boosts RSI+BB)
- Add structure-based S/R (swing highs/lows) for trade setup targeting
- Fix confidence death spiral: all adjustments now additive, not multiplicative
- Dynamic R:R trade setup: SL behind swing level, TP at next structure level,
  reject if R:R < 1.5
- Fix news engine for all 4 pairs (was hardcoded to USDJPY)
- Add WebSocket monitor: streams live ticks, triggers M15 scan on level breach
  with 5-min cooldown per pair — catches breakouts between candle boundaries
- Add correlation filter (EUR/USD+GBP/USD, XAU/USD+USD/JPY exposure warnings)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-11 16:33:23 -04:00
Harwinder 636f0304ae Refocus on USD/JPY and add walk-forward backtester with regime filter
- Strip multi-pair plumbing; drop synthetic-data fallback
- Add BacktestConfig + walk-forward replay through the live signal pipeline
- Add metrics module (PF, Sharpe, Sortino, max DD, trade journal)
- Add parallel grid optimizer with disk parquet cache
- Add H4 ADX regime gate (--regime-filter, --regime-min-adx) — cuts chop
  losses ~84% in 2023 H1 while preserving trend edge

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 17:15:41 -04:00
harry e4138ee60a Fixed code 2026-05-04 14:29:32 +00:00
harry e08b593a86 Add news_engine.py 2026-05-04 04:09:32 +00:00