Commit Graph

8 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Harwinder Sekhon 0c56b4e155 Local news model: ML-NEWS XAU transformer scores headlines (news_model.py, mode primary)
The owner's DeBERTa-v3-small two-head ONNX model (golden set 72/78, ~72%
agreement with DeepSeek on unseen days) replaces DeepSeek for headline
scoring. DeepSeek keeps event direction, the summary and the dashboard
endpoint.

- news_model.py: vendored ML-NEWS runtime (lazy onnxruntime/tokenizers,
  so the bot starts without them) + load-once, never-raising singleton.
- news_engine: _enrich_headline_scores mode switch (off/fallback/primary),
  _apply_model_sentiment (gold head only: xau_score + XAU entry, never
  USD; not-relevant shows 0.0; never touches _llm_sent_cache),
  _audit_with_deepseek (archive-only labels, deepseek_audit_per_day).
- Owner decision: primary mode writes nothing to logs/newsdata.db except
  audit copies — the model's output is not training data.
- app_config: news_model section (path/threads/mode/deepseek_audit_per_day)
  + NEWS_MODEL_MODE env override; validated at boot.
- news_archive: model rows carry teacher_model xau_transformer@<trained_at>.
- deploy/README-news-model.md (ops for bot + dashboard daemon), unit gets a
  commented NEWS_MODEL_MODE=off line; requirements + onnxruntime, tokenizers.
- test_all.py Module 38 (15 tests, one against the real bundle). Suite 581.
- CLAUDE.md, spec status note, handoff marked implemented.

Books unaffected: news never enters signals; no signal file touched.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-27 21:02:42 -04:00
Harwinder Sekhon 3afc62c847 alerts: require a trade setup, log every send, drop stale spread-gate vetoes, daily log rotation
Delivery-side fixes from the 2026-09-08 three-day signal-log + telegram-log
review. Nothing in the signal core changes: the 3-year H1 and M15 books at
$0.65 were regenerated before/after and are identical on every trade column
(H1 253 / +70.02R / PF 1.98, M15 1092 / +151.90R / PF 1.38); only the
exported `warnings` text differs, on 50/253 H1 and 358/1092 M15 trades.

- signal_aggregator: step 7 moves into `_attach_core_setup`; a final pass
  after the PB/CP archetypes (`_drop_stale_spread_gate_vetoes`) moves a core
  generator's "SPREAD GATE: ... costs would eat the edge" veto to
  `cleaned_warnings` whenever a later generator shipped a setup. The
  2026-09-08 07:45 UTC A-grade alert carried that line beside a $26.49 TP1;
  a fifth of H1 and a third of M15 A-grade alerts had been doing the same.
  The prefix is now the `_SPREAD_GATE_PREFIX` constant shared by both
  emitters and both cleanups.
- telegram_bot: alerts require a trade setup (`_is_alert_candidate`, shared
  by the scan and breach paths; no-setup candidates log
  `alert skipped: ... (gate reason)`). The 07:50 UTC B-grade SELL with no
  setup had gone out under the same warning.
- telegram_bot: every delivered alert / breach alert / violent-move heads-up
  logs an `... sent:` INFO line with the signal-log row id (only failures
  were logged before, so the review had to reconstruct sends from panel
  rows). Send fan-out is one `_broadcast` helper for both paths.
- telegram_bot: `telegram.log` rotates daily x 30 instead of 3-hourly x 240
  (old `_HH` files on the live box need one manual delete).
- signal_log / CLAUDE.md: `cleaned_warnings_json` is no longer a CP-only
  marker; docs say so.
- test_all: 468 tests (+2): stale-veto cleanup incl. the PB-shaped case and
  the both-vetoed case, and the alert-candidate rule with its skip line; the
  rotation test asserts MIDNIGHT / interval 86400 / 30 backups.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_018xY4NPPrx6NJoG6QWHzwpd
2026-09-08 11:13:52 -04:00
Harwinder Sekhon 1f44d6bad6 chore: repo hygiene — stale gitignore entries, finished plans, superseded research, doc drift
Removed (all recoverable from git history):
- llm_provider_switch_plan.txt: 2026-08-08 DeepSeek/Anthropic multi-provider plan that
  was never implemented (llm_client.py is DeepSeek-only, no `anthropic` anywhere)
- docs/superpowers/specs/2026-07-21-centralized-config-design.md: spec of the
  config.json migration that merged the same day; its plan sibling was already
  deleted in b936d44. app_config's docstring pointer goes with it.
- scripts/compare_oanda_tiingo.py: Phase 0 recent-tail smoke test, superseded by the
  Phase 1/2 study scripts (result recorded in the test plan)
- backtest/research/fetch_oanda_m15.py + oanda_td_divergence.py + its by-hour CSV:
  the 2026-07-24 Oanda-vs-Twelve-Data study, superseded by the 2026-08-14 feed
  divergence report (which keeps a one-line citation)
- backtest/research/burst_profile.py and hour_analysis.py: superseded by burst_map.py
  and book_report.py
- backtest/research/panel_payload_drytest_2026-08-15.py: one-off live DeepSeek probe;
  its .jsonl evidence stays

Added to git: the three 2026-08-14 research reports (feed divergence, re-pin
verification, signal parity), their CSV, and docs/data_source_change_test_plan.md -
CLAUDE.md cites them as standing evidence and their driver scripts were already
committed. The test plan no longer refers to auto-execution.

Hygiene:
- .gitignore: drop oanda_state.json (daemon removed 2026-09-03) and the vanished
  backtest/trailgrid dirs; ignore .coverage
- docs/architecture_diagram.py only writes the PNG when run as a script (it used
  to plot on import); test box refreshed to 461 tests / 31 modules; PNG regenerated
  (the committed one still drew the removed daemon)
- backtest/instructions_for_backtest.txt: manual-journal head replaced by the
  actual reporting checklist; the 2026-09-06 addendum is unchanged
- doc drift: README/publisher list all six published files; news_summary.php says
  4 h (not 24 h) and drops the pre-id sha1 fallback whose window closed;
  analyze_signal_log lists six lenses and --scan-outcomes; agent_panel cost model
  says 4 requests by default; tiingo comment cites the NY-anchored weekend;
  Module 21 title no longer says "execution lifecycle"

Suite: 461 passed, 0 failed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_0156YhogLytzj9P2iH1skGbL
2026-09-06 17:01:07 -04:00
Harwinder Sekhon 509519866e news: beginner-language summary, 4 h headline window, drop neutral headlines; --news log report
Verdict from the 3-week signal log (backtest/research/news_sentiment_value_2026-09-04.md):
news_sentiment is a trailing-24h echo of price (r +0.67 with the past day, +0.03 with
the next; most bullish 2 h after the 08-25 top, bearish 44 h later; most bearish at the
09-02 low, bullish 16 h later). Per-headline LLM labels are correct; the 12 h pool and
the averaging are what destroy the information. Both gating flags stay False.

- news_engine: _LLM_SUMMARY_SYSTEM rewritten for someone who has never traded (no
  acronyms, two worked examples); summary payload newest-first with the platform's own
  gold direction; reply cap 300 -> 400 chars.
- config: headline_max_age_seconds 43200 -> 14400; RSS items without a parsable
  pubDate are dropped (they used to be stamped "now" and never aged out).
- news_engine.get_fundamental_context drops headlines whose every relevant score is
  inside +-0.1 (_is_neutral_headline) before the per-currency mean; news_sentiment
  from this date is a mean over directional <=4 h headlines (log comparisons split here).
- static: dashboard copy for the 4 h pool; news_summary.php prompt gets the same style rule.
- analyze_signal_log: --news (under --stored-candles) prints sentiment lead/lag with
  split halves, sentiment at the window high/low with flip lags, and outcome buckets by
  direction x news x macro stance; LogRow gains news_sentiment/event_risk; _row_index shared.
- tests: 406 -> 414 (age window, undated drop, neutral filter, summary prompt/payload/cap,
  --news helpers, load_rows round-trip); RSS fixtures now carry a pubDate.
- docs: user/beginner guides, CLAUDE.md, deploy README.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_0169BgFtWjp1SEAa5392Q9jH
2026-09-04 15:14:58 -04:00
Harwinder Sekhon 15a4ed7831 dashboard: clickable news — detail dialogs + on-demand AI summary endpoint
- news_engine: RSS parser captures link/description/publisher (three new
  optional NewsSentiment fields); _clean_html_text/_safe_link helpers
- news.json: headlines carry id = sha1(headline) + enrichment fields
- static/news_summary.php (NEW): on-demand DeepSeek gold-impact summary,
  whitelist-gated against news.json ids, cache-forever in ai/, fail-closed
  file-based daily cap (150/day), key at /etc/gold-dashboard/deepseek.key;
  installed to the docroot by install_static
- dashboard.html: newswire + calendar detail dialogs (score tiles, source
  description, article link, AI summary with loading/error states);
  delegated on stable containers, dialog keyed by id across polls
- tests: +6 (357 total); docs: README-dashboard §6 one-time setup
  (key file, apache-owned ai/, SELinux httpd_can_network_connect), CLAUDE.md

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01Aq1jZ6jBsBdEC2xT3u46SA
2026-08-07 09:08:49 -04:00
Harwinder Sekhon 21c16977e8 Dashboard publishes directly into /var/www/trade (no subfolder)
Adds exactly three files next to the portal: dashboard.html,
snapshot.json, news.json. README covers chown vs setfacl for write access.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01Wc9ZoqKLYBT2QJcpRWKoGm
2026-08-03 17:17:37 -04:00
Harwinder Sekhon 7a281125e9 Dashboard out-dir default → /var/www/trade/gold-dashboard (live portal docroot)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01Wc9ZoqKLYBT2QJcpRWKoGm
2026-08-03 17:14:08 -04:00
Harwinder Sekhon 4efe30508b Web dashboard v2: static publisher + Apache, with calendar & news panels
- dashboard_publisher.py: standalone candle-close daemon that atomically
  writes snapshot.json/news.json/dashboard.html to an Apache-served dir
  (DASHBOARD_OUT_DIR). Fully independent of telegram_bot/oanda_daemon —
  local confirmation map + boundary math, no imports either way, no new
  deps, no open port. Due-TF classification from the RAW wake time.
- static/dashboard.html: self-contained dark page — hero rail, four TF
  cards (score bar, 3x3 indicator grid, MTF, setup, reasons), DeepSeek
  market context, week economic calendar, scored newswire. Clock offset
  from the HTTP Date header (publish-time epoch is stale between closes).
- news_engine.get_week_events(): additive read-only accessor over the
  cached FF week; no signal path calls it.
- deploy/: systemd unit + live-server (LAMP/SELinux) checklist.
- test_all.py: Module 20 (9 tests) + get_week_events test; 296 green.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01Wc9ZoqKLYBT2QJcpRWKoGm
2026-08-03 17:10:29 -04:00