Commit Graph

167 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Harwinder b38ed17c96 Add session filter + auto-toggle, extend trade journal diagnostics
Session filter restricts trades to a UTC hour window (default 07-16,
London + NY) — opt-in via --session-filter, with --session-start /
--session-end overrides. Wired into both the backtester (cheap hour
check next to the regime gate) and live mode (downgrades signal to
NEUTRAL/F when current UTC hour is outside the window).

Auto-toggle (--auto-session-filter) tracks rolling mean pnl_pct over
the last N closed trades; when it falls below threshold, the session
filter activates, releasing once expectancy recovers. Default lookback
10 trades, threshold -0.3%.

Trade dataclass extended with diagnostic fields captured at entry:
entry_hour, entry_dow, ADX, ATR%, market_regime, volatility_regime,
mtf_agreement. These let --journal-csv exports surface loss-pattern
clusters when a window underperforms.

Validated on 2024 trend / 2023 chop / 2026 recent windows. Auto-toggle
preserves ~50% of trend edge while still cutting ~25% of recent-regime
losses — pure regime filter is still best on cumulative, so both
session flags ship default-off.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 18:38:49 -04:00
Harwinder dcd98fffa2 Swap raw requests for Twelve Data Python SDK
data_provider now uses TDClient.time_series().as_pandas() instead of
hand-rolled REST calls. Throttle, validation, and parquet caching are
unchanged. Adds twelvedata>=1.2.0 to requirements.txt.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 18:38:38 -04:00
Harwinder 70990532a3 Compact hierarchical live signal output
Restructure print_signal_report so decision (signal · grade · score ·
confidence · MTF) sits at the top, followed by trade setup, context line,
MTF breakdown, top supporting/opposing reasons in two columns, warnings,
and an optional detail block under --detail. Adds _compact_reason helper
that strips known indicator name prefixes via _INDICATOR_PREFIXES so
reason lines stay short.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 17:53:50 -04:00
Harwinder 53e6e07829 Wire regime filter into live mode
--regime-filter previously affected only backtests. Live mode now also
checks higher-TF ADX after analysis: signals are downgraded to NEUTRAL
with a warning when ADX < threshold, and confirming when above.

This brings live behavior into parity with what the backtester measures.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 17:40:39 -04:00
Harwinder 7699e6dd1d Add indicator ablation framework + apply ablation-driven cleanup
Framework:
- TechnicalConfig.disabled_indicators skips named indicators in engine.analyze
- Optimizer supports disable_indicator override for parallel ablation sweeps
- main.py --ablate runs leave-one-out across all 10 directional indicators

Cleanup applied (validated across 2024 trend / 2023 chop / 2026 recent):
- Drop pivot by default (cumulative +9.5% to disable)
- Drop candlestick by default (+3.4% cumulative)
- Regime-gate ichimoku: 1.3x in trending, 0.2x in ranging (was a chop villain)
- Trim RSI weight 1.0 -> 0.3 (cumulative noise across regimes)

Result: +10.60% on 2024 trend (+33.24% -> +43.84%, Sharpe 2.17 -> 2.77),
+15.71% on 2023 chop (-18.27% -> -2.56%). Recent regime still adverse.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 17:33:07 -04:00
Harwinder 636f0304ae Refocus on USD/JPY and add walk-forward backtester with regime filter
- Strip multi-pair plumbing; drop synthetic-data fallback
- Add BacktestConfig + walk-forward replay through the live signal pipeline
- Add metrics module (PF, Sharpe, Sortino, max DD, trade journal)
- Add parallel grid optimizer with disk parquet cache
- Add H4 ADX regime gate (--regime-filter, --regime-min-adx) — cuts chop
  losses ~84% in 2023 H1 while preserving trend edge

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 17:15:41 -04:00
Harwinder 6ebdc34cd3 Remove redundant script.txt and tracked __pycache__
script.txt was superseded by requirements.txt. Python bytecode should
not be version-controlled — added .gitignore to keep cache and venv
out of the repo going forward.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-06 22:25:43 -04:00
Harwinder bc1844b233 Add requirements.txt and usage guide
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-04 10:51:03 -04:00
Harwinder 242df24ca7 Fixed Bugs 2026-05-04 10:51:03 -04:00
harry e4138ee60a Fixed code 2026-05-04 14:29:32 +00:00
harry 1637b93f1c Add script.txt 2026-05-04 04:11:35 +00:00
harry 43319d9a98 Add main.py 2026-05-04 04:10:17 +00:00
harry ce4a12877d Add signal_aggregator.py 2026-05-04 04:10:01 +00:00
harry e08b593a86 Add news_engine.py 2026-05-04 04:09:32 +00:00
harry dacf337e87 Add engine.py 2026-05-04 04:08:58 +00:00
harry 008c21f9c3 Add data_provider.py 2026-05-04 04:08:35 +00:00
harry e39054af02 Add config.py 2026-05-04 04:08:10 +00:00