New violent_watch.py assesses each scan from the cached Forex Factory week events, the
UTC clock and the report's own indicator states, and stamps SignalReport.watch_line
post-hoc (telegram alerts, CLI, dashboard). A standalone heads-up goes to the owner on
the fastest scanned timeframe when the level is "hot", once per UTC hour per trigger
set, capped per day. Config block `violent_watch` (enabled False, alert_line, headsup,
max_headsup_per_day, headsup_min_level); env VIOLENT_WATCH_ENABLED.
Rule chosen from a 3-year bar-by-bar sweep (backtest/research/watch_rule_eval.py,
recorded in sizing_campaign_2026-09.md): hot = high-impact USD release within 30 min
(before or after) OR a hot clock slot (weekday 12-14 UTC, 01 UTC, Sunday 22-23 UTC)
with at least one price-extreme reading (outside Bollinger bands, RSI <30/>=70, outside
Keltner); ~8.6% of bars, next-bar odds 3-5x normal, ~4 hot hours/day. watch = clock
slot alone or two price-extreme readings (~2x). Context readings (ADX rising, extreme
volatility, transitioning, MACD acceleration) are phrases only - letting them raise the
level flagged 27% of bars at ~2x and would have sent ~13 heads-ups/day (rejected).
Direction sentence: DOWN when bearish readings dominate (70-78% on both TFs), UP on M5
only. Never a gate or exit: every open-trade protection tested lost money.
Test-locked out of analyze_from_dataframes / engine / backtester. Module 30 (18 tests).
Suite: 453 passed. Guide PDFs not rebuilt.
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01RWV2yLt3YXHHGVYHSQU2EE
None of these touch the signal path. The 12-month M15 book
(2024-03-31..2025-03-30, $0.65, cached Oanda bars) is byte-identical
before and after (md5 c59d3e7e685c3c880b614640adfea74b, 375 trades),
and signal/indicator logging to logs/signals.db is unchanged — verified
end to end: per-TF indicators for all 3 TFs, 14 candles each, MTF and
reasons all still persisted.
agent_panel: the >=2-take quorum guards the CHAIR's synthesizer spend,
but ran BEFORE the macro branch — so the shipped default
(verdict_source="macro", which never calls the synthesizer) silently
dropped a good macro verdict whenever the other three personas were
slow. Quorum moved below the macro path.
analyze_signal_log: _forward_return clamped to the last available bar
when the horizon had not elapsed, reporting a near-zero "forward move"
for every row logged within `hours` of the end of the data — on every
run, blended into the hit-rate/mean-move aggregate. Now returns None.
analyze_signal_log: persona_scorecard iterated raw rows through an index
that maps EVERY member row of an event, so a re-logged scan appended
the same event R twice. One vote per event, matching
news_outcome_buckets. Measured inflation on the live DB: 1.03x.
signal_log: dedup required a non-negative logged_at gap, but logged_at is
stamped before the row wins the write lock (busy_timeout 5 s), so two
processes logging one setup at a boundary can invert timestamp order
against id order and seed a second event. Now abs(gap); same in
backfill_seeds. Zero occurrences in the current 366 setup rows.
advisory_outcome: the catch-all turned real evaluator faults into the
same UNRESOLVABLE used for legitimate weekend gaps, with nothing in the
log. Still fail-safe, now logged.
llm_client: only the "cap" warn-once flag was ever reset, so in a daemon
the second and every later network/http/parse outage logged at DEBUG
only. Cleared on UTC-day roll and re-armed by a recovered call.
dashboard.js: renderCards() redraws the selector for every timeframe but
was gated on the SELECTED one changing, leaving the other buttons stale
(up to 4 h on H4) while renderHero's rail already showed the new value.
news_summary.php: atomic_write treated a short write (disk full) as
success, publishing a truncated body the cache-first branch then served
forever; and the daily cap was charged before the no-key check and
before the stampede lock re-checked the cache, so a click burst could
exhaust the 150/day budget with zero LLM calls.
migrate_signal_log_news: logged_at is ISO with 'T' while SQLite's
datetime() uses a space, so string-comparing them put the whole cutoff
calendar day on the wrong side and it never pruned. NOTE: this now
deletes one day more than before — it only runs when invoked by hand.
Tests 414 -> 422 (new Module 28, one per fix). The existing
"<2 valid takes" test was retargeted at the chair — the case it actually
protects — rather than deleted, with new coverage for macro-alone.
Not fixed, recorded for the owner:
- Gate 6c's boost condition is textually identical to the C-grade
definition, so every C in a "transitioning" regime is promoted to B
before gate 6e reads it, making sell_min_quality's exclusion of "C" a
no-op on M15/H4 (H1 and M5 are immune by other means). The backtester
runs the same code, so every pinned book already includes this —
changing it is a rule-1 revalidation event.
- Safe-haven/geopolitical headlines score exactly 0.00 in the keyword
fallback and are now dropped entirely by the ±0.1 neutral filter,
contradicting the platform's own gold doctrine. Bites only when
DeepSeek is capped/disabled/failing.
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01Ah5EB1goi5inQmSd37Ne6a
Verdict from the 3-week signal log (backtest/research/news_sentiment_value_2026-09-04.md):
news_sentiment is a trailing-24h echo of price (r +0.67 with the past day, +0.03 with
the next; most bullish 2 h after the 08-25 top, bearish 44 h later; most bearish at the
09-02 low, bullish 16 h later). Per-headline LLM labels are correct; the 12 h pool and
the averaging are what destroy the information. Both gating flags stay False.
- news_engine: _LLM_SUMMARY_SYSTEM rewritten for someone who has never traded (no
acronyms, two worked examples); summary payload newest-first with the platform's own
gold direction; reply cap 300 -> 400 chars.
- config: headline_max_age_seconds 43200 -> 14400; RSS items without a parsable
pubDate are dropped (they used to be stamped "now" and never aged out).
- news_engine.get_fundamental_context drops headlines whose every relevant score is
inside +-0.1 (_is_neutral_headline) before the per-currency mean; news_sentiment
from this date is a mean over directional <=4 h headlines (log comparisons split here).
- static: dashboard copy for the 4 h pool; news_summary.php prompt gets the same style rule.
- analyze_signal_log: --news (under --stored-candles) prints sentiment lead/lag with
split halves, sentiment at the window high/low with flip lags, and outcome buckets by
direction x news x macro stance; LogRow gains news_sentiment/event_risk; _row_index shared.
- tests: 406 -> 414 (age window, undated drop, neutral filter, summary prompt/payload/cap,
--news helpers, load_rows round-trip); RSS fixtures now carry a pubDate.
- docs: user/beginner guides, CLAUDE.md, deploy README.
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_0169BgFtWjp1SEAa5392Q9jH
Page now uses Bootstrap 5.3 color modes (data-bs-theme), Bootstrap Icons,
and Bootstrap modals. Custom code shrinks to dashboard.css (app tokens,
score bar, signal accents) and dashboard.js (rendering/polling logic,
ported verbatim from the inline script). dashboard_publisher copies the
new css/js into the docroot; all 381 tests still green.
poll() now compares raw payload text and re-renders only what a changed
file can affect, preserving selection, disclosure, and scroll state. Hero
freshness reflects publish time (STALE warning past 15 min while market
open), and countdowns resolve their wrap interval from data-interval
instead of reverse-looking shared TF boundaries in snapshot.timeframes.
main.py: --panel runs the agent panel on demand (force bypasses
enabled/surface/quality toggles; daily budget + LLM cap still apply),
prints the verdict + persona takes, and report_to_dict carries the four
panel keys — which auto-propagates them into the dashboard's
snapshot.json via report_to_webapp_dict. dashboard_publisher attaches
in scan_tf gated by agent_panel.dashboard (default off); dashboard.html
renders an "AI panel (advisory)" section in the TF detail dialog.
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01SisdfkxnXNL9iZsXxN3T15
Owner-supplied page design replacing the dark-only v1: Bootstrap 5
colour tokens with a luma-inverted dark mode (toggle + system-pref +
localStorage), compact clickable TF cards opening a full-detail modal
(all-nine indicator table with value/conf/weight, price ladder of key
levels vs spot, per-confirmation-TF drilldowns, provenance), newswire
aggregate sentiment box, Inter/JetBrains Mono webfonts.
Re-applied the c70f58a sync fixes the source copy predated: 5 s
conditional-GET polling and the +2 s boundary refetch sniper. Data
logic otherwise unchanged; all fields verified against
report_to_webapp_dict output.
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_017mbXs9HRawZhD1uZ3ze7zQ
Three display-side fixes, no signal-logic changes:
- run_cycle publishes snapshot.json BEFORE the news refresh — news I/O
(FF + 4 RSS + possible DeepSeek calls) took 20-30 s on TTL-expired
cycles and kept fresh signals off the page (publish_all split into
publish_snapshot/publish_news, kept for boot)
- page polls every 5 s (was 20 s) using conditional GETs: dropped the
?t= cache-buster + no-store so Apache answers unchanged files with
bodyless 304s
- boundary refetch sniper re-armed: fires 2 s after next_scan_epoch
regardless of distance (the old delay<POLL_MS guard would have been
dead code at 5 s polling)
New Module 20 test locks the snapshot-before-news ordering. 352 tests.
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_017mbXs9HRawZhD1uZ3ze7zQ
- dashboard_publisher.py: standalone candle-close daemon that atomically
writes snapshot.json/news.json/dashboard.html to an Apache-served dir
(DASHBOARD_OUT_DIR). Fully independent of telegram_bot/oanda_daemon —
local confirmation map + boundary math, no imports either way, no new
deps, no open port. Due-TF classification from the RAW wake time.
- static/dashboard.html: self-contained dark page — hero rail, four TF
cards (score bar, 3x3 indicator grid, MTF, setup, reasons), DeepSeek
market context, week economic calendar, scored newswire. Clock offset
from the HTTP Date header (publish-time epoch is stale between closes).
- news_engine.get_week_events(): additive read-only accessor over the
cached FF week; no signal path calls it.
- deploy/: systemd unit + live-server (LAMP/SELinux) checklist.
- test_all.py: Module 20 (9 tests) + get_week_events test; 296 green.
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01Wc9ZoqKLYBT2QJcpRWKoGm
Harwinder Sekhon