Commit Graph

8 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Harwinder Sekhon 7936c2fe6e audit 2026-09-13: eleven delivery/measurement fixes; books byte-identical
Signal path
- A shipped setup always names a direction: grade C needs confidence
  >= 45 (gate 6c grants B at >= 45) while BUY/SELL needs >= 50, so C/B
  reports reached the alert gate as NEUTRAL with a full setup. The
  backtester traded them (the replay never reads final_signal) while
  Telegram rejected NEUTRAL first — 5/91 trades, +3.7R of +22.2R, in
  the H1 12-month book. _attach_core_setup stamps the setup's direction
  and repairs the pre-gate action text; no-setup reports stay NEUTRAL.
- analyze_pair fails the scan when ANY required frame is missing
  ("DATA UNAVAILABLE:", scan_kind='failed'); a lost confirmation frame
  used to run with an unearned -15 MTF penalty.

Outcomes and labels
- advisory_outcome.resolve_locked_floor: a gap the database cannot fill
  resolves at the locked trailing stop (GAP_LOCKED, result.floor) when
  the stop had crossed the entry; the rebuild fires on both gap reasons
  (rows 915/920: +1.14R / +0.84R floors; resolved sum -2.46R -> -0.48R).
- label_scan_outcomes: SCAN_LABEL_MAX_AGE_H = 72 h, stale rows never
  anchor the shared bar stream, labeled_at bumped on re-examination,
  _stream_since warns at its row cap (the Labor-Day pile would have
  blinded scan_outcomes around 2026-09-14).

Providers and scheduling
- The daily settlement pause (Mon-Thu 17:00 New York) is a scheduled
  closure for _has_latest_closed_bar (whole-span label walk-back) and
  _is_data_fresh (closed seconds are not age); bot and dashboard skip
  scans whose just-closed label sits in the pause (61 false stale rows
  in three nights).
- fetch_range retries a failed page in place (three failures on one
  window raise) and logs an ERROR for interior gaps of >3 unscheduled
  bars.
- pd.Timestamp.utcnow() replaced in providers/base.py and engine.py;
  requirements pin pandas<4, numpy<3.
- telegram_bot: boundary loops share one scan per bar with the breach
  handler (_remember_scan keys on the analysed bar; breach defers 20 s
  after an M15 boundary); the rotating file handler attaches in main()
  only (the test suite used to write into logs/telegram.log).
- dashboard_publisher: catch_up_timeframes re-scans boundaries missed
  while a cycle overran or the process was down.

Backtester and engine guards
- _replay_span returns the per-span GPU cache-miss count; run_backtest
  sums, logs it (must be 0) and writes cache_fallbacks to the manifest.
- regime_weight_table raises on a partial regime_weights_override.

Verification: 519 tests; M5/M15 2-yr, M15 OOS, H1/H4 3-yr books
byte-identical before and after; live signals.db untouched (checked on
a copy). CLAUDE.md carries the dated entry and the blocked-hours union
semantics that every book was validated under.

Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_0139xz1J6YccndA2be6yFnEo
2026-09-13 21:42:37 -04:00
harwinder 04328eaeab Refocus on XAU/USD: add momentum indicators, tune TP, exhaustion block
Strip EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY pairs and strategies from entire codebase.
Add 3 new scored indicators (ROC, Keltner/TTM Squeeze, ADX slope) and
enable MACD-as-pillar + divergence detection for early trend entry.
Introduce "transitioning" regime (ADX < 25, slope > 3.0) to catch trend
births before ADX confirms. Gold-specific composite weights per regime.

Tune TP multipliers: quality-tiered scaling (A+/A get 1.5-2.0x ATR via
XAU ATR method, B/C use swing-level targeting). Backtest: +24R total,
65% WR, PF 1.12 over 365 days.

Add momentum-confirmed exhaustion block: hard-reject trades when 2+
static exhaustion signals fire AND ROC/MACD confirm fading momentum.
Prevents late trend entries without killing strong trend trades.

Telegram: simplify buttons to timeframe-only labels, add "Scan All TFs"
multi-timeframe summary, add /scan command, fix BB/KC level breach keys,
fix price formatting (.2f for gold), fix deprecated asyncio call, fix
"1 pairs" grammar and 60s/30s dashboard refresh mismatch.
2026-05-15 10:51:51 -04:00
harwinder bb3c475f22 Add web dashboard (Redis + FastAPI + WebSocket), scope XAU penalties
Signal daemon (signal_web.py): candle-boundary scanner mirroring
telegram_bot.py, publishes serialized SignalReport JSON to Redis.
Web API (web/app.py): thin FastAPI reader behind Apache, serves
/api/signals REST + /ws WebSocket from Redis pub/sub.
Frontend (web/static/index.html): 3-pair grid, color-coded signals,
indicator breakdown per timeframe, trade setup display.

Also: XAU-specific penalty scoping in signal_aggregator (softer
confidence penalties for gold, original strict values for forex),
pair-aware session filter routing XAU to its own blocked hours.
2026-05-14 23:15:37 -04:00
Harwinder 7ccd8c4b04 Strip backtesting, rebalance indicator weights toward leading signals
Remove backtest.py, backtest_gpu.py, metrics.py, local CSV data,
Dukascopy loader, and all backtest CLI modes from main.py. Rebalance
engine weights: leading indicators (divergence, RSI, stochastic, BB)
now carry 66% of signal weight vs 34% for lagging (EMA, MACD). Add
ws_twelvedata.py for live tick streaming. Drop pyarrow and tqdm deps.
2026-05-10 23:40:15 -04:00
Harwinder a12084537d Add async Telegram bot — live scan button with trade setup
Introduces telegram_bot.py: python-telegram-bot v20+ async bot that
presents a persistent Scan Signal inline button. Each press fetches a
live USD/JPY signal via SignalAggregator and formats it with emoji,
MTF breakdown, top bull/bear reasons, and warnings. STRONG_BUY /
STRONG_SELL signals additionally render the full trade setup (entry,
SL, TP1, TP2, RR). Adds python-telegram-bot>=20.0 to requirements.txt.
2026-05-07 23:05:01 -04:00
Harwinder fb1eb5b73f Swap raw requests for Twelve Data Python SDK
data_provider now uses TDClient.time_series().as_pandas() instead of
hand-rolled REST calls. Throttle, validation, and parquet caching are
unchanged. Adds twelvedata>=1.2.0 to requirements.txt.
2026-05-07 18:38:38 -04:00
Harwinder 045f4248f3 Refocus on USD/JPY and add walk-forward backtester with regime filter
- Strip multi-pair plumbing; drop synthetic-data fallback
- Add BacktestConfig + walk-forward replay through the live signal pipeline
- Add metrics module (PF, Sharpe, Sortino, max DD, trade journal)
- Add parallel grid optimizer with disk parquet cache
- Add H4 ADX regime gate (--regime-filter, --regime-min-adx) — cuts chop
  losses ~84% in 2023 H1 while preserving trend edge
2026-05-07 17:15:41 -04:00
Harwinder 0a374cfea7 Add requirements.txt and usage guide 2026-05-04 10:51:03 -04:00