Files
ForexBot2/walkforward/1c264d5/h4_s065/metrics.json
T
Harwinder Sekhon 68dc76a5f1 walkforward: 2019→2026 OOS exam, 4 TFs @ $0.65 — books + manifest
26 rolling folds per TF (train 12mo / test 3mo / step 3mo) over
2019-01-01→2026-08-07 on fresh Oanda history (5 parquets, sha256s in
manifest). Aggregated OOS: M5 +126.5R PF 1.35 (11/26 folds flagged),
M15 +139.2R PF 1.18 (9/26), H1 +33.3R PF 1.15 (13/26), H4 +33.3R
PF 1.52 (9/26). Flagged folds cluster 2020H2–2023; 2023-10+ nearly
uniformly positive — corroborates the "earns mainly 2024+" re-pin
finding. Robustness read only: NOT a new baseline, nothing tuned.

Runs captured at 1c264d5 + the walk-forward diff (recorded as
dirty + diff sha256 in manifest.json); compare_baseline passed 32/32
immediately before the runs.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_017FBjfomAipxvPWwRJEDDyJ
2026-08-07 18:21:55 -04:00

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JSON

{
"by_quality": {
"A": {
"max_dd_r": -4.895173,
"profit_factor": 1.55692,
"total_r": 21.640335,
"trades": 113,
"win_rate_pct": 56.637168
},
"A+": {
"max_dd_r": -1.107368,
"profit_factor": 1.153384,
"total_r": 0.338437,
"trades": 8,
"win_rate_pct": 50.0
},
"B": {
"max_dd_r": -7.196617,
"profit_factor": 1.592447,
"total_r": 16.459472,
"trades": 87,
"win_rate_pct": 60.91954
},
"C": {
"max_dd_r": -2.807414,
"profit_factor": 0.425046,
"total_r": -2.615562,
"trades": 9,
"win_rate_pct": 44.444444
}
},
"by_strategy": {
"GENERIC": {
"max_dd_r": -5.662108,
"profit_factor": 1.488081,
"total_r": 35.822682,
"trades": 217,
"win_rate_pct": 57.603687
}
},
"overall": {
"max_dd_r": -5.662108,
"profit_factor": 1.488081,
"total_r": 35.822682,
"trades": 217,
"win_rate_pct": 57.603687
}
}