ForexBot2/backtest/research/llm_news_golden.csv

1	headline	category	expected_xau_sign	rationale
2	Powell says restrictive policy needed for longer as inflation proves sticky	hawkish_fed	-1	higher-for-longer rates lift real yields, gold-bearish
3	Fed minutes show officials leaning toward two more rate hikes this year	hawkish_fed	-1	more hikes = stronger dollar/yields
4	Hot CPI print fuels bets on additional Fed tightening	hawkish_fed	-1	tightening expectations weigh on gold
5	Fed's Waller: higher-for-longer rates warranted by resilient economy	hawkish_fed	-1	hawkish guidance
6	FOMC raises rates 50bp, flags further increases ahead	hawkish_fed	-1	outsized hike plus hawkish guidance
7	Treasury yields spike as Fed pushes back on rate cut hopes	hawkish_fed	-1	cut hopes dashed, yields up
8	Core inflation accelerates, cementing case for hawkish Fed stance	hawkish_fed	-1	hawkish repricing
9	Fed dot plot shifts higher; markets price out easing for the year	hawkish_fed	-1	easing priced out
10	Fed cuts rates 25bp and signals more easing to come	dovish_fed	1	easing cycle is gold-bullish
11	Powell hints at rate cuts as inflation cools toward target	dovish_fed	1	cut guidance
12	FOMC minutes reveal growing support for policy easing	dovish_fed	1	dovish minutes
13	Fed's Williams says rate cuts appropriate later this year	dovish_fed	1	cut guidance
14	Soft inflation data boosts odds of a dovish Fed pivot	dovish_fed	1	pivot odds up
15	Fed pauses hikes, markets price aggressive easing cycle	dovish_fed	1	easing priced in
16	Central banks turn dovish as global growth falters	dovish_fed	1	global easing backdrop
17	Fed to restart bond purchases to support flagging economy	dovish_fed	1	QE is gold-bullish
18	Dollar index hits 12-month high on robust US economic data	strong_usd	-1	strong dollar pressures gold
19	US GDP grows 4.1% annualized, blowing past expectations	strong_usd	-1	strong economy, hawkish implication
20	Blockbuster jobs report sends dollar surging across the board	strong_usd	-1	strong jobs lift dollar and yields
21	US retail sales smash forecasts, underscoring consumer strength	strong_usd	-1	strong data
22	Greenback rallies as US data outshines Europe and Asia	strong_usd	-1	dollar strength
23	ISM services index jumps to two-year high on strong demand	strong_usd	-1	strong data
24	Consumer confidence surges to post-pandemic high in the US	strong_usd	-1	strong data
25	Dollar tumbles to eight-month low after dismal manufacturing data	weak_usd	1	weak dollar lifts gold
26	US economy adds far fewer jobs than expected; dollar slides	weak_usd	1	weak jobs, dovish implication
27	Greenback weakens as US retail sales unexpectedly contract	weak_usd	1	weak data
28	US GDP growth revised down sharply, stoking slowdown fears	weak_usd	1	slowdown is dovish
29	Dollar slumps as trade deficit balloons to record	weak_usd	1	dollar weakness
30	Soft services PMI adds to evidence of cooling US economy	weak_usd	1	cooling economy
31	US consumer sentiment plunges to two-year low	weak_usd	1	weak data
32	Real yields climb to multi-year highs as TIPS sell off	real_yields	-1	rising real yields raise gold's opportunity cost
33	10-year Treasury yield surges past 5% on supply glut	real_yields	-1	yield spike
34	Rising real interest rates dim appeal of non-yielding assets	real_yields	-1	explicit opportunity-cost story
35	Treasury yields sink as investors flock to bonds	real_yields	1	falling yields support gold
36	Real yields turn negative as inflation outpaces rates	real_yields	1	negative real yields are gold's best backdrop
37	Bond rally drives 10-year yield to lowest level in a year	real_yields	1	falling yields
38	Geopolitical tensions escalate in Middle East, investors seek safety	safe_haven	1	safe-haven bid
39	Stocks crater worldwide as banking crisis fears spread	safe_haven	1	crisis flight to safety
40	Escalating conflict drives flight to safe-haven assets	safe_haven	1	explicit haven flow
41	Investors dump risk assets after surprise sovereign default	safe_haven	1	default shock
42	Military escalation on NATO border rattles global markets	safe_haven	1	geopolitical stress
43	Wall Street plunges 4% in worst session since pandemic	safe_haven	1	risk-off
44	Currency crisis in emerging markets sparks contagion fears	safe_haven	1	contagion, haven bid
45	Nuclear rhetoric intensifies, sending investors to havens	safe_haven	1	extreme geopolitical stress
46	Ceasefire agreement lifts global markets, haven demand fades	risk_on	-1	haven unwind
47	Stocks roar to record highs as trade deal signed	risk_on	-1	risk-on drains haven demand
48	Risk appetite returns as banking fears subside	risk_on	-1	risk-on
49	Global equities rally on strong earnings and easing tensions	risk_on	-1	risk-on
50	Gold hits record high as central banks keep buying bullion	gold_direct	1	direct demand
51	Gold ETFs post biggest weekly inflows in three years	gold_direct	1	investment inflows
52	China's central bank extends gold buying spree to 18th month	gold_direct	1	official-sector demand
53	Miners struggle to meet gold demand as supply deficit widens	gold_direct	1	supply deficit
54	Gold slides 2% as investors book profits after record run	gold_direct	-1	profit-taking pressure
55	Gold tumbles below key support as ETF outflows accelerate	gold_direct	-1	outflows
56	Bullion demand weakens as Indian jewellery buying stalls	gold_direct	-1	physical demand soft
57	Speculators slash bullish gold bets as dollar strengthens	gold_direct	-1	positioning unwind
58	Fed holds rates steady, signals no rate hike on the horizon	negation_traps	1	dovish hold; keyword layer sees the phrase rate hike and flips it gold-bearish
59	Powell says no rate cuts until inflation shows sustained cooling	negation_traps	-1	hawkish hold; keyword layer sees rate cut and calls it gold-bullish
60	Recession fears fade as US data streak beats estimates	negation_traps	-1	fading fear is risk-on; keywords see recession plus beats and cancel out
61	Inflation fails to accelerate, easing pressure on the Fed	negation_traps	1	disinflation opens door to cuts
62	Fed's Bowman: not yet confident inflation is beaten, cuts premature	negation_traps	-1	hawkish pushback phrased around negations
63	Central bank stops short of hiking, but warns tightening may resume	negation_traps	-1	hawkish hold with tightening bias
64	No safe-haven bid for gold despite equity wobble, analysts say	negation_traps	-1	explicitly negated haven demand
65	Jobs report not as weak as feared, dollar recovers	negation_traps	-1	less-bad data is dollar-positive
66	US manufacturing output plunges as new orders dry up	inverted_metrics	1	weak economy is dovish/gold-bullish; keyword layer reads plunges as bearish
67	US factory activity slumps to three-year low	inverted_metrics	1	weak data; keyword reads slumps as bearish
68	Consumer spending falls for third straight month	inverted_metrics	1	weak data; keyword reads falls as bearish
69	Private payrolls growth slides to weakest pace since 2020	inverted_metrics	1	weak jobs; keyword reads slides as bearish
70	Jobless claims hit two-year high as layoffs spread	inverted_metrics	1	higher claims = weaker economy = gold-bullish
71	US unemployment rate hits 4.5%, highest since 2021	inverted_metrics	1	higher unemployment = dovish = gold-bullish
72	Lakers clinch playoff berth with overtime win over Suns	distractors	0	irrelevant
73	New Marvel film smashes box office records on opening weekend	distractors	0	irrelevant
74	Apple unveils thinner MacBook with faster chip lineup	distractors	0	irrelevant
75	Scientists discover new deep-sea species off Pacific coast	distractors	0	irrelevant
76	Heavy rain forecast for the Midwest through the weekend	distractors	0	irrelevant
77	Streaming service raises subscription prices in Europe	distractors	0	irrelevant
78	Electric vehicle startup recalls 12,000 cars over software glitch	distractors	0	irrelevant
79	Local elections see record turnout in several US states	distractors	0	irrelevant