harry/News-ML-Decoder
1
0
Fork 0
Code Issues Pull Requests Actions Packages Projects Releases Wiki Activity

Initial import: XAUUSD news sentiment models, evals, and data tooling

Browse Source 
TF-IDF baseline (news_sentiment.py, models/xauusd_sentiment.joblib) and the
two-head DeBERTa-v3-small transformer (transformer/, news_transformer.py)
with its Google News crawler and DeepSeek labeller (data_collect/), the
golden-set and archive evals (eval/), and the 2026-09-22 and 2026-09-27
results and progress notes.

Transformer weights (model.pt, model.onnx) and the crawl database are not
tracked; rebuild with transformer/train.py and transformer/export_onnx.py.
The DeepSeek label cache in data/ is tracked.
This commit is contained in:
Harwinder Sekhon
2026-09-27 19:22:30 -04:00
commit 01baef48ff
98 changed files with 1719757 additions and 0 deletions
Download Patch File Download Diff File Expand all files Collapse all files
eval/results/golden_20260927_1906_transformer.csv
+79
View File
@@ -0,0 +1,79 @@
headline,category,exp,rationale,model_label,model_cls,model_score,model_conf,model_margin,model_cls_band,model_ms,kw_xau,kw_cls,ds_s,ds_xau,ds_cls,ds_cached
Powell says restrictive policy needed for longer as inflation proves sticky,hawkish_fed,-1,"higher-for-longer rates lift real yields, gold-bearish",bullish,1,0.3717,0.544,0.519,1,10.41,0.0,0,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Fed minutes show officials leaning toward two more rate hikes this year,hawkish_fed,-1,more hikes = stronger dollar/yields,bearish,-1,-0.9846,0.9859,0.9974,-1,9.18,-1.0,-1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Hot CPI print fuels bets on additional Fed tightening,hawkish_fed,-1,tightening expectations weigh on gold,bearish,-1,-0.9841,0.9865,0.995,-1,8.37,-1.0,-1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Fed's Waller: higher-for-longer rates warranted by resilient economy,hawkish_fed,-1,hawkish guidance,bearish,-1,-0.9881,0.9898,0.9966,-1,9.01,1.0,1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
"FOMC raises rates 50bp, flags further increases ahead",hawkish_fed,-1,outsized hike plus hawkish guidance,bearish,-1,-0.9837,0.9871,0.9932,-1,8.66,0.0,0,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Treasury yields spike as Fed pushes back on rate cut hopes,hawkish_fed,-1,"cut hopes dashed, yields up",bearish,-1,-0.9413,0.9663,0.9496,-1,8.72,1.0,1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
"Core inflation accelerates, cementing case for hawkish Fed stance",hawkish_fed,-1,hawkish repricing,bearish,-1,-0.9859,0.9887,0.9942,-1,8.47,0.0,0,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Fed dot plot shifts higher; markets price out easing for the year,hawkish_fed,-1,easing priced out,bearish,-1,-0.9705,0.9782,0.9846,-1,8.97,1.0,1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Fed cuts rates 25bp and signals more easing to come,dovish_fed,1,easing cycle is gold-bullish,bullish,1,0.877,0.934,0.885,1,9.36,1.0,1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
Powell hints at rate cuts as inflation cools toward target,dovish_fed,1,cut guidance,bullish,1,0.8019,0.8348,0.9242,1,9.01,1.0,1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
FOMC minutes reveal growing support for policy easing,dovish_fed,1,dovish minutes,bearish,-1,-0.9733,0.9788,0.9888,-1,8.69,1.0,1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
Fed's Williams says rate cuts appropriate later this year,dovish_fed,1,cut guidance,bullish,1,0.4071,0.6988,0.411,1,9.1,1.0,1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
Soft inflation data boosts odds of a dovish Fed pivot,dovish_fed,1,pivot odds up,bullish,1,0.8041,0.8819,0.838,1,8.88,1.0,1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
"Fed pauses hikes, markets price aggressive easing cycle",dovish_fed,1,easing priced in,bearish,-1,-0.5965,0.7943,0.6012,-1,8.64,1.0,1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
Central banks turn dovish as global growth falters,dovish_fed,1,global easing backdrop,bullish,1,0.9057,0.9108,0.9888,1,8.76,1.0,1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
Fed to restart bond purchases to support flagging economy,dovish_fed,1,QE is gold-bullish,bearish,-1,-0.3445,0.6279,0.378,-1,8.81,0.0,0,-0.4,0.7,1,True
Dollar index hits 12-month high on robust US economic data,strong_usd,-1,strong dollar pressures gold,bearish,-1,-0.95,0.9715,0.9566,-1,9.29,1.0,1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
"US GDP grows 4.1% annualized, blowing past expectations",strong_usd,-1,"strong economy, hawkish implication",neutral,0,0.1478,0.8033,0.6066,0,9.15,0.0,0,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Blockbuster jobs report sends dollar surging across the board,strong_usd,-1,strong jobs lift dollar and yields,bullish,1,0.6653,0.7469,0.803,1,8.92,0.0,0,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
"US retail sales smash forecasts, underscoring consumer strength",strong_usd,-1,strong data,neutral,0,0.1492,0.847,0.694,0,8.8,0.0,0,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Greenback rallies as US data outshines Europe and Asia,strong_usd,-1,dollar strength,bullish,1,0.2369,0.238,0.9902,1,8.94,0.0,0,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
ISM services index jumps to two-year high on strong demand,strong_usd,-1,strong data,neutral,0,0.1424,0.8312,0.6624,0,9.17,1.0,1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Consumer confidence surges to post-pandemic high in the US,strong_usd,-1,strong data,bullish,1,0.704,0.7057,0.9952,1,9.16,1.0,1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Dollar tumbles to eight-month low after dismal manufacturing data,weak_usd,1,weak dollar lifts gold,bullish,1,0.9609,0.9678,0.9858,1,9.23,-1.0,-1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
US economy adds far fewer jobs than expected; dollar slides,weak_usd,1,"weak jobs, dovish implication",bullish,1,0.8136,0.8166,0.9928,1,9.36,-1.0,-1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
Greenback weakens as US retail sales unexpectedly contract,weak_usd,1,weak data,neutral,0,0.015,0.9818,0.9636,0,8.72,-1.0,-1,-0.4,0.6,1,True
"US GDP growth revised down sharply, stoking slowdown fears",weak_usd,1,slowdown is dovish,bullish,1,0.8791,0.8821,0.9934,1,8.81,0.0,0,-0.5,0.5,1,True
Dollar slumps as trade deficit balloons to record,weak_usd,1,dollar weakness,bullish,1,0.9497,0.9562,0.9864,1,8.65,-1.0,-1,-0.4,0.5,1,True
Soft services PMI adds to evidence of cooling US economy,weak_usd,1,cooling economy,neutral,0,0.1893,0.8083,0.6166,1,8.8,0.0,0,-0.4,0.4,1,True
US consumer sentiment plunges to two-year low,weak_usd,1,weak data,bullish,1,0.7944,0.8082,0.9662,1,8.85,-1.0,-1,-0.5,0.5,1,True
Real yields climb to multi-year highs as TIPS sell off,real_yields,-1,rising real yields raise gold's opportunity cost,bearish,-1,-0.7106,0.8513,0.7164,-1,9.1,0.0,0,0.6,-0.8,-1,True
10-year Treasury yield surges past 5% on supply glut,real_yields,-1,yield spike,bearish,-1,-0.9403,0.9679,0.9446,-1,8.95,1.0,1,0.6,-0.8,-1,True
Rising real interest rates dim appeal of non-yielding assets,real_yields,-1,explicit opportunity-cost story,bullish,1,0.8598,0.9008,0.9128,1,9.11,0.0,0,0.5,-0.7,-1,True
Treasury yields sink as investors flock to bonds,real_yields,1,falling yields support gold,bullish,1,0.9302,0.9402,0.979,1,8.63,0.0,0,-0.5,0.6,1,True
Real yields turn negative as inflation outpaces rates,real_yields,1,negative real yields are gold's best backdrop,bullish,1,0.7981,0.8636,0.859,1,8.76,0.0,0,-0.6,0.8,1,True
Bond rally drives 10-year yield to lowest level in a year,real_yields,1,falling yields,bearish,-1,-0.6453,0.8205,0.648,-1,9.62,1.0,1,-0.5,0.6,1,True
"Geopolitical tensions escalate in Middle East, investors seek safety",safe_haven,1,safe-haven bid,bullish,1,0.9362,0.9412,0.9894,1,9.46,0.0,0,-0.7,0.8,1,True
Stocks crater worldwide as banking crisis fears spread,safe_haven,1,crisis flight to safety,bullish,1,0.9373,0.9426,0.9888,1,8.44,0.0,0,-0.8,0.9,1,True
Escalating conflict drives flight to safe-haven assets,safe_haven,1,explicit haven flow,bullish,1,0.7981,0.8435,0.8978,1,8.81,0.0,0,-0.7,0.8,1,True
Investors dump risk assets after surprise sovereign default,safe_haven,1,default shock,bullish,1,0.5667,0.5691,0.9916,1,8.83,0.0,0,-0.8,0.9,1,True
Military escalation on NATO border rattles global markets,safe_haven,1,geopolitical stress,bullish,1,0.9376,0.9558,0.9628,1,8.43,0.0,0,-0.7,0.8,1,True
Wall Street plunges 4% in worst session since pandemic,safe_haven,1,risk-off,bullish,1,0.9117,0.9196,0.9828,1,9.31,-1.0,-1,-0.8,0.9,1,True
Currency crisis in emerging markets sparks contagion fears,safe_haven,1,"contagion, haven bid",bullish,1,0.5982,0.6008,0.9916,1,8.94,0.0,0,-0.7,0.8,1,True
"Nuclear rhetoric intensifies, sending investors to havens",safe_haven,1,extreme geopolitical stress,bullish,1,0.9267,0.9446,0.963,1,8.61,0.0,0,-0.8,0.9,1,True
"Ceasefire agreement lifts global markets, haven demand fades",risk_on,-1,haven unwind,neutral,0,0.1732,0.8232,0.6464,1,8.85,0.0,0,0.6,-0.7,-1,True
Stocks roar to record highs as trade deal signed,risk_on,-1,risk-on drains haven demand,bullish,1,0.3616,0.3648,0.9826,1,8.73,1.0,1,0.7,-0.7,-1,True
Risk appetite returns as banking fears subside,risk_on,-1,risk-on,bullish,1,0.7688,0.774,0.9868,1,8.51,0.0,0,0.6,-0.6,-1,True
Global equities rally on strong earnings and easing tensions,risk_on,-1,risk-on,bullish,1,0.439,0.6793,0.4774,1,8.72,1.0,1,0.7,-0.7,-1,True
Gold hits record high as central banks keep buying bullion,gold_direct,1,direct demand,bullish,1,0.9704,0.9789,0.983,1,8.81,1.0,1,0.8,0.9,1,True
Gold ETFs post biggest weekly inflows in three years,gold_direct,1,investment inflows,bullish,1,0.4251,0.4898,0.7664,1,8.87,0.0,0,0.7,0.8,1,True
China's central bank extends gold buying spree to 18th month,gold_direct,1,official-sector demand,bullish,1,0.7745,0.7767,0.9942,1,9.2,0.0,0,0.6,0.7,1,True
Miners struggle to meet gold demand as supply deficit widens,gold_direct,1,supply deficit,bullish,1,0.6544,0.702,0.873,1,8.94,-1.0,-1,0.5,0.6,1,True
Gold slides 2% as investors book profits after record run,gold_direct,-1,profit-taking pressure,bearish,-1,-0.9534,0.9727,0.961,-1,8.9,-1.0,-1,-0.6,-0.8,-1,True
Gold tumbles below key support as ETF outflows accelerate,gold_direct,-1,outflows,bearish,-1,-0.9172,0.9555,0.923,-1,8.88,-1.0,-1,-0.7,-0.9,-1,True
Bullion demand weakens as Indian jewellery buying stalls,gold_direct,-1,physical demand soft,neutral,0,0.0397,0.9591,0.9182,0,8.77,-1.0,-1,-0.4,-0.5,-1,True
Speculators slash bullish gold bets as dollar strengthens,gold_direct,-1,positioning unwind,bearish,-1,-0.6588,0.827,0.662,-1,8.71,1.0,1,-0.5,-0.6,-1,True
"Fed holds rates steady, signals no rate hike on the horizon",negation_traps,1,dovish hold; keyword layer sees the phrase rate hike and flips it gold-bearish,bullish,1,0.3312,0.53,0.4544,1,8.97,-1.0,-1,0.3,0.5,1,True
Powell says no rate cuts until inflation shows sustained cooling,negation_traps,-1,hawkish hold; keyword layer sees rate cut and calls it gold-bullish,bullish,1,0.876,0.9017,0.9444,1,8.86,1.0,1,-0.2,-0.3,-1,True
Recession fears fade as US data streak beats estimates,negation_traps,-1,fading fear is risk-on; keywords see recession plus beats and cancel out,bullish,1,0.6565,0.658,0.9954,1,8.38,0.0,0,0.4,-0.4,-1,True
"Inflation fails to accelerate, easing pressure on the Fed",negation_traps,1,disinflation opens door to cuts,bullish,1,0.8434,0.8554,0.9722,1,8.89,1.0,1,0.3,0.4,1,True
"Fed's Bowman: not yet confident inflation is beaten, cuts premature",negation_traps,-1,hawkish pushback phrased around negations,bullish,1,0.7076,0.7122,0.987,1,9.21,0.0,0,-0.4,-0.5,-1,True
"Central bank stops short of hiking, but warns tightening may resume",negation_traps,-1,hawkish hold with tightening bias,bearish,-1,-0.8248,0.8684,0.9046,-1,9.31,-1.0,-1,-0.3,-0.4,-1,True
"No safe-haven bid for gold despite equity wobble, analysts say",negation_traps,-1,explicitly negated haven demand,bullish,1,0.4923,0.4937,0.9942,1,9.06,0.0,0,-0.3,-0.4,-1,True
"Jobs report not as weak as feared, dollar recovers",negation_traps,-1,less-bad data is dollar-positive,bullish,1,0.8733,0.8808,0.9832,1,8.76,0.0,0,0.3,-0.4,-1,True
US manufacturing output plunges as new orders dry up,inverted_metrics,1,weak economy is dovish/gold-bullish; keyword layer reads plunges as bearish,neutral,0,0.1356,0.8588,0.7176,0,8.87,-1.0,-1,-0.5,0.5,1,True
US factory activity slumps to three-year low,inverted_metrics,1,weak data; keyword reads slumps as bearish,bullish,1,0.2566,0.2577,0.9916,1,8.77,-1.0,-1,-0.5,0.5,1,True
Consumer spending falls for third straight month,inverted_metrics,1,weak data; keyword reads falls as bearish,neutral,0,0.0673,0.9155,0.831,0,8.37,-1.0,-1,-0.5,0.5,1,True
Private payrolls growth slides to weakest pace since 2020,inverted_metrics,1,weak jobs; keyword reads slides as bearish,neutral,0,0.1272,0.8706,0.7412,0,8.79,-1.0,-1,-0.5,0.5,1,True
Jobless claims hit two-year high as layoffs spread,inverted_metrics,1,higher claims = weaker economy = gold-bullish,bullish,1,0.2487,0.2502,0.9884,1,8.95,0.0,0,-0.5,0.5,1,True
"US unemployment rate hits 4.5%, highest since 2021",inverted_metrics,1,higher unemployment = dovish = gold-bullish,bearish,-1,-0.7011,0.8322,0.728,-1,9.09,0.0,0,-0.6,0.6,1,True
Lakers clinch playoff berth with overtime win over Suns,distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,0.077,0.9198,0.8396,0,8.68,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
New Marvel film smashes box office records on opening weekend,distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,0.049,0.9498,0.8996,0,8.49,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
Apple unveils thinner MacBook with faster chip lineup,distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,0.0231,0.9762,0.9524,0,8.28,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
Scientists discover new deep-sea species off Pacific coast,distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,0.0717,0.9273,0.8546,0,8.56,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
Heavy rain forecast for the Midwest through the weekend,distractors,0,irrelevant,bearish,-1,-0.1149,0.2047,0.39,0,8.89,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
Streaming service raises subscription prices in Europe,distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,0.0038,0.9949,0.9898,0,8.6,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
"Electric vehicle startup recalls 12,000 cars over software glitch",distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,0.007,0.9927,0.9854,0,8.88,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
Local elections see record turnout in several US states,distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,0.0196,0.9788,0.9576,0,8.77,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
1 headline category exp rationale model_label model_cls model_score model_conf model_margin model_cls_band model_ms kw_xau kw_cls ds_s ds_xau ds_cls ds_cached
2 Powell says restrictive policy needed for longer as inflation proves sticky hawkish_fed -1 higher-for-longer rates lift real yields, gold-bearish bullish 1 0.3717 0.544 0.519 1 10.41 0.0 0 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
3 Fed minutes show officials leaning toward two more rate hikes this year hawkish_fed -1 more hikes = stronger dollar/yields bearish -1 -0.9846 0.9859 0.9974 -1 9.18 -1.0 -1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
4 Hot CPI print fuels bets on additional Fed tightening hawkish_fed -1 tightening expectations weigh on gold bearish -1 -0.9841 0.9865 0.995 -1 8.37 -1.0 -1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
5 Fed's Waller: higher-for-longer rates warranted by resilient economy hawkish_fed -1 hawkish guidance bearish -1 -0.9881 0.9898 0.9966 -1 9.01 1.0 1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
6 FOMC raises rates 50bp, flags further increases ahead hawkish_fed -1 outsized hike plus hawkish guidance bearish -1 -0.9837 0.9871 0.9932 -1 8.66 0.0 0 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
7 Treasury yields spike as Fed pushes back on rate cut hopes hawkish_fed -1 cut hopes dashed, yields up bearish -1 -0.9413 0.9663 0.9496 -1 8.72 1.0 1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
8 Core inflation accelerates, cementing case for hawkish Fed stance hawkish_fed -1 hawkish repricing bearish -1 -0.9859 0.9887 0.9942 -1 8.47 0.0 0 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
9 Fed dot plot shifts higher; markets price out easing for the year hawkish_fed -1 easing priced out bearish -1 -0.9705 0.9782 0.9846 -1 8.97 1.0 1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
10 Fed cuts rates 25bp and signals more easing to come dovish_fed 1 easing cycle is gold-bullish bullish 1 0.877 0.934 0.885 1 9.36 1.0 1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
11 Powell hints at rate cuts as inflation cools toward target dovish_fed 1 cut guidance bullish 1 0.8019 0.8348 0.9242 1 9.01 1.0 1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
12 FOMC minutes reveal growing support for policy easing dovish_fed 1 dovish minutes bearish -1 -0.9733 0.9788 0.9888 -1 8.69 1.0 1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
13 Fed's Williams says rate cuts appropriate later this year dovish_fed 1 cut guidance bullish 1 0.4071 0.6988 0.411 1 9.1 1.0 1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
14 Soft inflation data boosts odds of a dovish Fed pivot dovish_fed 1 pivot odds up bullish 1 0.8041 0.8819 0.838 1 8.88 1.0 1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
15 Fed pauses hikes, markets price aggressive easing cycle dovish_fed 1 easing priced in bearish -1 -0.5965 0.7943 0.6012 -1 8.64 1.0 1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
16 Central banks turn dovish as global growth falters dovish_fed 1 global easing backdrop bullish 1 0.9057 0.9108 0.9888 1 8.76 1.0 1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
17 Fed to restart bond purchases to support flagging economy dovish_fed 1 QE is gold-bullish bearish -1 -0.3445 0.6279 0.378 -1 8.81 0.0 0 -0.4 0.7 1 True
18 Dollar index hits 12-month high on robust US economic data strong_usd -1 strong dollar pressures gold bearish -1 -0.95 0.9715 0.9566 -1 9.29 1.0 1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
19 US GDP grows 4.1% annualized, blowing past expectations strong_usd -1 strong economy, hawkish implication neutral 0 0.1478 0.8033 0.6066 0 9.15 0.0 0 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
20 Blockbuster jobs report sends dollar surging across the board strong_usd -1 strong jobs lift dollar and yields bullish 1 0.6653 0.7469 0.803 1 8.92 0.0 0 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
21 US retail sales smash forecasts, underscoring consumer strength strong_usd -1 strong data neutral 0 0.1492 0.847 0.694 0 8.8 0.0 0 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
22 Greenback rallies as US data outshines Europe and Asia strong_usd -1 dollar strength bullish 1 0.2369 0.238 0.9902 1 8.94 0.0 0 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
23 ISM services index jumps to two-year high on strong demand strong_usd -1 strong data neutral 0 0.1424 0.8312 0.6624 0 9.17 1.0 1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
24 Consumer confidence surges to post-pandemic high in the US strong_usd -1 strong data bullish 1 0.704 0.7057 0.9952 1 9.16 1.0 1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
25 Dollar tumbles to eight-month low after dismal manufacturing data weak_usd 1 weak dollar lifts gold bullish 1 0.9609 0.9678 0.9858 1 9.23 -1.0 -1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
26 US economy adds far fewer jobs than expected; dollar slides weak_usd 1 weak jobs, dovish implication bullish 1 0.8136 0.8166 0.9928 1 9.36 -1.0 -1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
27 Greenback weakens as US retail sales unexpectedly contract weak_usd 1 weak data neutral 0 0.015 0.9818 0.9636 0 8.72 -1.0 -1 -0.4 0.6 1 True
28 US GDP growth revised down sharply, stoking slowdown fears weak_usd 1 slowdown is dovish bullish 1 0.8791 0.8821 0.9934 1 8.81 0.0 0 -0.5 0.5 1 True
29 Dollar slumps as trade deficit balloons to record weak_usd 1 dollar weakness bullish 1 0.9497 0.9562 0.9864 1 8.65 -1.0 -1 -0.4 0.5 1 True
30 Soft services PMI adds to evidence of cooling US economy weak_usd 1 cooling economy neutral 0 0.1893 0.8083 0.6166 1 8.8 0.0 0 -0.4 0.4 1 True
31 US consumer sentiment plunges to two-year low weak_usd 1 weak data bullish 1 0.7944 0.8082 0.9662 1 8.85 -1.0 -1 -0.5 0.5 1 True
32 Real yields climb to multi-year highs as TIPS sell off real_yields -1 rising real yields raise gold's opportunity cost bearish -1 -0.7106 0.8513 0.7164 -1 9.1 0.0 0 0.6 -0.8 -1 True
33 10-year Treasury yield surges past 5% on supply glut real_yields -1 yield spike bearish -1 -0.9403 0.9679 0.9446 -1 8.95 1.0 1 0.6 -0.8 -1 True
34 Rising real interest rates dim appeal of non-yielding assets real_yields -1 explicit opportunity-cost story bullish 1 0.8598 0.9008 0.9128 1 9.11 0.0 0 0.5 -0.7 -1 True
35 Treasury yields sink as investors flock to bonds real_yields 1 falling yields support gold bullish 1 0.9302 0.9402 0.979 1 8.63 0.0 0 -0.5 0.6 1 True
36 Real yields turn negative as inflation outpaces rates real_yields 1 negative real yields are gold's best backdrop bullish 1 0.7981 0.8636 0.859 1 8.76 0.0 0 -0.6 0.8 1 True
37 Bond rally drives 10-year yield to lowest level in a year real_yields 1 falling yields bearish -1 -0.6453 0.8205 0.648 -1 9.62 1.0 1 -0.5 0.6 1 True
38 Geopolitical tensions escalate in Middle East, investors seek safety safe_haven 1 safe-haven bid bullish 1 0.9362 0.9412 0.9894 1 9.46 0.0 0 -0.7 0.8 1 True
39 Stocks crater worldwide as banking crisis fears spread safe_haven 1 crisis flight to safety bullish 1 0.9373 0.9426 0.9888 1 8.44 0.0 0 -0.8 0.9 1 True
40 Escalating conflict drives flight to safe-haven assets safe_haven 1 explicit haven flow bullish 1 0.7981 0.8435 0.8978 1 8.81 0.0 0 -0.7 0.8 1 True
41 Investors dump risk assets after surprise sovereign default safe_haven 1 default shock bullish 1 0.5667 0.5691 0.9916 1 8.83 0.0 0 -0.8 0.9 1 True
42 Military escalation on NATO border rattles global markets safe_haven 1 geopolitical stress bullish 1 0.9376 0.9558 0.9628 1 8.43 0.0 0 -0.7 0.8 1 True
43 Wall Street plunges 4% in worst session since pandemic safe_haven 1 risk-off bullish 1 0.9117 0.9196 0.9828 1 9.31 -1.0 -1 -0.8 0.9 1 True
44 Currency crisis in emerging markets sparks contagion fears safe_haven 1 contagion, haven bid bullish 1 0.5982 0.6008 0.9916 1 8.94 0.0 0 -0.7 0.8 1 True
45 Nuclear rhetoric intensifies, sending investors to havens safe_haven 1 extreme geopolitical stress bullish 1 0.9267 0.9446 0.963 1 8.61 0.0 0 -0.8 0.9 1 True
46 Ceasefire agreement lifts global markets, haven demand fades risk_on -1 haven unwind neutral 0 0.1732 0.8232 0.6464 1 8.85 0.0 0 0.6 -0.7 -1 True
47 Stocks roar to record highs as trade deal signed risk_on -1 risk-on drains haven demand bullish 1 0.3616 0.3648 0.9826 1 8.73 1.0 1 0.7 -0.7 -1 True
48 Risk appetite returns as banking fears subside risk_on -1 risk-on bullish 1 0.7688 0.774 0.9868 1 8.51 0.0 0 0.6 -0.6 -1 True
49 Global equities rally on strong earnings and easing tensions risk_on -1 risk-on bullish 1 0.439 0.6793 0.4774 1 8.72 1.0 1 0.7 -0.7 -1 True
50 Gold hits record high as central banks keep buying bullion gold_direct 1 direct demand bullish 1 0.9704 0.9789 0.983 1 8.81 1.0 1 0.8 0.9 1 True
51 Gold ETFs post biggest weekly inflows in three years gold_direct 1 investment inflows bullish 1 0.4251 0.4898 0.7664 1 8.87 0.0 0 0.7 0.8 1 True
52 China's central bank extends gold buying spree to 18th month gold_direct 1 official-sector demand bullish 1 0.7745 0.7767 0.9942 1 9.2 0.0 0 0.6 0.7 1 True
53 Miners struggle to meet gold demand as supply deficit widens gold_direct 1 supply deficit bullish 1 0.6544 0.702 0.873 1 8.94 -1.0 -1 0.5 0.6 1 True
54 Gold slides 2% as investors book profits after record run gold_direct -1 profit-taking pressure bearish -1 -0.9534 0.9727 0.961 -1 8.9 -1.0 -1 -0.6 -0.8 -1 True
55 Gold tumbles below key support as ETF outflows accelerate gold_direct -1 outflows bearish -1 -0.9172 0.9555 0.923 -1 8.88 -1.0 -1 -0.7 -0.9 -1 True
56 Bullion demand weakens as Indian jewellery buying stalls gold_direct -1 physical demand soft neutral 0 0.0397 0.9591 0.9182 0 8.77 -1.0 -1 -0.4 -0.5 -1 True
57 Speculators slash bullish gold bets as dollar strengthens gold_direct -1 positioning unwind bearish -1 -0.6588 0.827 0.662 -1 8.71 1.0 1 -0.5 -0.6 -1 True
58 Fed holds rates steady, signals no rate hike on the horizon negation_traps 1 dovish hold; keyword layer sees the phrase rate hike and flips it gold-bearish bullish 1 0.3312 0.53 0.4544 1 8.97 -1.0 -1 0.3 0.5 1 True
59 Powell says no rate cuts until inflation shows sustained cooling negation_traps -1 hawkish hold; keyword layer sees rate cut and calls it gold-bullish bullish 1 0.876 0.9017 0.9444 1 8.86 1.0 1 -0.2 -0.3 -1 True
60 Recession fears fade as US data streak beats estimates negation_traps -1 fading fear is risk-on; keywords see recession plus beats and cancel out bullish 1 0.6565 0.658 0.9954 1 8.38 0.0 0 0.4 -0.4 -1 True
61 Inflation fails to accelerate, easing pressure on the Fed negation_traps 1 disinflation opens door to cuts bullish 1 0.8434 0.8554 0.9722 1 8.89 1.0 1 0.3 0.4 1 True
62 Fed's Bowman: not yet confident inflation is beaten, cuts premature negation_traps -1 hawkish pushback phrased around negations bullish 1 0.7076 0.7122 0.987 1 9.21 0.0 0 -0.4 -0.5 -1 True
63 Central bank stops short of hiking, but warns tightening may resume negation_traps -1 hawkish hold with tightening bias bearish -1 -0.8248 0.8684 0.9046 -1 9.31 -1.0 -1 -0.3 -0.4 -1 True
64 No safe-haven bid for gold despite equity wobble, analysts say negation_traps -1 explicitly negated haven demand bullish 1 0.4923 0.4937 0.9942 1 9.06 0.0 0 -0.3 -0.4 -1 True
65 Jobs report not as weak as feared, dollar recovers negation_traps -1 less-bad data is dollar-positive bullish 1 0.8733 0.8808 0.9832 1 8.76 0.0 0 0.3 -0.4 -1 True
66 US manufacturing output plunges as new orders dry up inverted_metrics 1 weak economy is dovish/gold-bullish; keyword layer reads plunges as bearish neutral 0 0.1356 0.8588 0.7176 0 8.87 -1.0 -1 -0.5 0.5 1 True
67 US factory activity slumps to three-year low inverted_metrics 1 weak data; keyword reads slumps as bearish bullish 1 0.2566 0.2577 0.9916 1 8.77 -1.0 -1 -0.5 0.5 1 True
68 Consumer spending falls for third straight month inverted_metrics 1 weak data; keyword reads falls as bearish neutral 0 0.0673 0.9155 0.831 0 8.37 -1.0 -1 -0.5 0.5 1 True
69 Private payrolls growth slides to weakest pace since 2020 inverted_metrics 1 weak jobs; keyword reads slides as bearish neutral 0 0.1272 0.8706 0.7412 0 8.79 -1.0 -1 -0.5 0.5 1 True
70 Jobless claims hit two-year high as layoffs spread inverted_metrics 1 higher claims = weaker economy = gold-bullish bullish 1 0.2487 0.2502 0.9884 1 8.95 0.0 0 -0.5 0.5 1 True
71 US unemployment rate hits 4.5%, highest since 2021 inverted_metrics 1 higher unemployment = dovish = gold-bullish bearish -1 -0.7011 0.8322 0.728 -1 9.09 0.0 0 -0.6 0.6 1 True
72 Lakers clinch playoff berth with overtime win over Suns distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 0.077 0.9198 0.8396 0 8.68 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True
73 New Marvel film smashes box office records on opening weekend distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 0.049 0.9498 0.8996 0 8.49 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True
74 Apple unveils thinner MacBook with faster chip lineup distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 0.0231 0.9762 0.9524 0 8.28 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True
75 Scientists discover new deep-sea species off Pacific coast distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 0.0717 0.9273 0.8546 0 8.56 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True
76 Heavy rain forecast for the Midwest through the weekend distractors 0 irrelevant bearish -1 -0.1149 0.2047 0.39 0 8.89 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True
77 Streaming service raises subscription prices in Europe distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 0.0038 0.9949 0.9898 0 8.6 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True
78 Electric vehicle startup recalls 12,000 cars over software glitch distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 0.007 0.9927 0.9854 0 8.88 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True
79 Local elections see record turnout in several US states distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 0.0196 0.9788 0.9576 0 8.77 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True