harry/News-ML-Decoder
1
0
Fork 0
Code Issues Pull Requests Actions Packages Projects Releases Wiki Activity

Initial import: XAUUSD news sentiment models, evals, and data tooling

Browse Source 
TF-IDF baseline (news_sentiment.py, models/xauusd_sentiment.joblib) and the
two-head DeBERTa-v3-small transformer (transformer/, news_transformer.py)
with its Google News crawler and DeepSeek labeller (data_collect/), the
golden-set and archive evals (eval/), and the 2026-09-22 and 2026-09-27
results and progress notes.

Transformer weights (model.pt, model.onnx) and the crawl database are not
tracked; rebuild with transformer/train.py and transformer/export_onnx.py.
The DeepSeek label cache in data/ is tracked.
This commit is contained in:
Harwinder Sekhon
2026-09-27 19:22:30 -04:00
commit 01baef48ff
98 changed files with 1719757 additions and 0 deletions
Download Patch File Download Diff File Expand all files Collapse all files
eval/results/golden_20260927_1926_transformer.csv
+79
View File
@@ -0,0 +1,79 @@
headline,category,exp,rationale,model_label,model_cls,model_score,model_conf,model_margin,model_cls_band,model_ms,kw_xau,kw_cls,ds_s,ds_xau,ds_cls,ds_cached
Powell says restrictive policy needed for longer as inflation proves sticky,hawkish_fed,-1,"higher-for-longer rates lift real yields, gold-bearish",bullish,1,0.435,0.71,0.4416,1,10.24,0.0,0,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Fed minutes show officials leaning toward two more rate hikes this year,hawkish_fed,-1,more hikes = stronger dollar/yields,bearish,-1,-0.9869,0.9895,0.9948,-1,8.82,-1.0,-1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Hot CPI print fuels bets on additional Fed tightening,hawkish_fed,-1,tightening expectations weigh on gold,bearish,-1,-0.9821,0.9882,0.9878,-1,8.62,-1.0,-1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Fed's Waller: higher-for-longer rates warranted by resilient economy,hawkish_fed,-1,hawkish guidance,bearish,-1,-0.9816,0.989,0.9852,-1,8.9,1.0,1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
"FOMC raises rates 50bp, flags further increases ahead",hawkish_fed,-1,outsized hike plus hawkish guidance,bearish,-1,-0.9705,0.9819,0.9772,-1,8.36,0.0,0,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Treasury yields spike as Fed pushes back on rate cut hopes,hawkish_fed,-1,"cut hopes dashed, yields up",bearish,-1,-0.9821,0.9885,0.987,-1,8.52,1.0,1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
"Core inflation accelerates, cementing case for hawkish Fed stance",hawkish_fed,-1,hawkish repricing,bearish,-1,-0.9839,0.9898,0.988,-1,8.47,0.0,0,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Fed dot plot shifts higher; markets price out easing for the year,hawkish_fed,-1,easing priced out,bearish,-1,-0.8147,0.8881,0.8474,-1,8.79,1.0,1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Fed cuts rates 25bp and signals more easing to come,dovish_fed,1,easing cycle is gold-bullish,bullish,1,0.9611,0.9785,0.9652,1,8.51,1.0,1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
Powell hints at rate cuts as inflation cools toward target,dovish_fed,1,cut guidance,bullish,1,0.9687,0.9818,0.9736,1,8.52,1.0,1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
FOMC minutes reveal growing support for policy easing,dovish_fed,1,dovish minutes,bearish,-1,-0.6319,0.813,0.6356,-1,8.11,1.0,1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
Fed's Williams says rate cuts appropriate later this year,dovish_fed,1,cut guidance,bullish,1,0.8866,0.9419,0.889,1,9.01,1.0,1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
Soft inflation data boosts odds of a dovish Fed pivot,dovish_fed,1,pivot odds up,bullish,1,0.6963,0.846,0.6992,1,8.48,1.0,1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
"Fed pauses hikes, markets price aggressive easing cycle",dovish_fed,1,easing priced in,bullish,1,0.9659,0.9805,0.9706,1,8.3,1.0,1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
Central banks turn dovish as global growth falters,dovish_fed,1,global easing backdrop,bullish,1,0.963,0.9793,0.9672,1,8.31,1.0,1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
Fed to restart bond purchases to support flagging economy,dovish_fed,1,QE is gold-bullish,bullish,1,0.8518,0.8915,0.9148,1,8.26,0.0,0,-0.4,0.7,1,True
Dollar index hits 12-month high on robust US economic data,strong_usd,-1,strong dollar pressures gold,bearish,-1,-0.977,0.9862,0.9816,-1,8.56,1.0,1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
"US GDP grows 4.1% annualized, blowing past expectations",strong_usd,-1,"strong economy, hawkish implication",bearish,-1,-0.9141,0.9473,0.9324,-1,8.6,0.0,0,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Blockbuster jobs report sends dollar surging across the board,strong_usd,-1,strong jobs lift dollar and yields,bearish,-1,-0.7855,0.8878,0.7934,-1,8.45,0.0,0,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
"US retail sales smash forecasts, underscoring consumer strength",strong_usd,-1,strong data,bullish,1,0.0678,0.4828,0.0756,0,8.54,0.0,0,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Greenback rallies as US data outshines Europe and Asia,strong_usd,-1,dollar strength,bullish,1,0.5423,0.5931,0.842,1,8.98,0.0,0,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
ISM services index jumps to two-year high on strong demand,strong_usd,-1,strong data,bullish,1,0.5227,0.7138,0.5778,1,9.02,1.0,1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Consumer confidence surges to post-pandemic high in the US,strong_usd,-1,strong data,bullish,1,0.8318,0.8869,0.8828,1,8.85,1.0,1,0.4,-0.7,-1,True
Dollar tumbles to eight-month low after dismal manufacturing data,weak_usd,1,weak dollar lifts gold,bullish,1,0.9782,0.987,0.9824,1,8.67,-1.0,-1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
US economy adds far fewer jobs than expected; dollar slides,weak_usd,1,"weak jobs, dovish implication",bullish,1,0.9593,0.9647,0.9888,1,8.63,-1.0,-1,-0.4,0.7,1,True
Greenback weakens as US retail sales unexpectedly contract,weak_usd,1,weak data,neutral,0,0.0424,0.9499,0.8998,0,8.41,-1.0,-1,-0.4,0.6,1,True
"US GDP growth revised down sharply, stoking slowdown fears",weak_usd,1,slowdown is dovish,bullish,1,0.9198,0.9543,0.9304,1,8.39,0.0,0,-0.5,0.5,1,True
Dollar slumps as trade deficit balloons to record,weak_usd,1,dollar weakness,bullish,1,0.9755,0.9822,0.9864,1,8.3,-1.0,-1,-0.4,0.5,1,True
Soft services PMI adds to evidence of cooling US economy,weak_usd,1,cooling economy,bullish,1,0.9491,0.9568,0.984,1,8.31,0.0,0,-0.4,0.4,1,True
US consumer sentiment plunges to two-year low,weak_usd,1,weak data,bullish,1,0.9674,0.9767,0.981,1,8.48,-1.0,-1,-0.5,0.5,1,True
Real yields climb to multi-year highs as TIPS sell off,real_yields,-1,rising real yields raise gold's opportunity cost,bearish,-1,-0.9657,0.9814,0.9684,-1,9.08,0.0,0,0.6,-0.8,-1,True
10-year Treasury yield surges past 5% on supply glut,real_yields,-1,yield spike,bearish,-1,-0.9467,0.9716,0.95,-1,8.58,1.0,1,0.6,-0.8,-1,True
Rising real interest rates dim appeal of non-yielding assets,real_yields,-1,explicit opportunity-cost story,bullish,1,0.2024,0.5906,0.2068,1,8.55,0.0,0,0.5,-0.7,-1,True
Treasury yields sink as investors flock to bonds,real_yields,1,falling yields support gold,bullish,1,0.9594,0.9674,0.9838,1,8.18,0.0,0,-0.5,0.6,1,True
Real yields turn negative as inflation outpaces rates,real_yields,1,negative real yields are gold's best backdrop,bullish,1,0.9367,0.962,0.9488,1,8.27,0.0,0,-0.6,0.8,1,True
Bond rally drives 10-year yield to lowest level in a year,real_yields,1,falling yields,bullish,1,0.9671,0.98,0.974,1,8.67,1.0,1,-0.5,0.6,1,True
"Geopolitical tensions escalate in Middle East, investors seek safety",safe_haven,1,safe-haven bid,bullish,1,0.9226,0.9402,0.9632,1,8.56,0.0,0,-0.7,0.8,1,True
Stocks crater worldwide as banking crisis fears spread,safe_haven,1,crisis flight to safety,bullish,1,0.9016,0.9459,0.9106,1,8.15,0.0,0,-0.8,0.9,1,True
Escalating conflict drives flight to safe-haven assets,safe_haven,1,explicit haven flow,bearish,-1,-0.643,0.8165,0.6494,-1,8.55,0.0,0,-0.7,0.8,1,True
Investors dump risk assets after surprise sovereign default,safe_haven,1,default shock,bullish,1,0.755,0.8659,0.7728,1,8.18,0.0,0,-0.8,0.9,1,True
Military escalation on NATO border rattles global markets,safe_haven,1,geopolitical stress,bullish,1,0.9496,0.9693,0.9602,1,8.1,0.0,0,-0.7,0.8,1,True
Wall Street plunges 4% in worst session since pandemic,safe_haven,1,risk-off,bullish,1,0.9767,0.9835,0.9864,1,8.48,-1.0,-1,-0.8,0.9,1,True
Currency crisis in emerging markets sparks contagion fears,safe_haven,1,"contagion, haven bid",bullish,1,0.9199,0.9372,0.9636,1,8.18,0.0,0,-0.7,0.8,1,True
"Nuclear rhetoric intensifies, sending investors to havens",safe_haven,1,extreme geopolitical stress,bullish,1,0.6647,0.8294,0.6686,1,8.26,0.0,0,-0.8,0.9,1,True
"Ceasefire agreement lifts global markets, haven demand fades",risk_on,-1,haven unwind,bullish,1,0.8567,0.8672,0.976,1,8.39,0.0,0,0.6,-0.7,-1,True
Stocks roar to record highs as trade deal signed,risk_on,-1,risk-on drains haven demand,bullish,1,0.7039,0.7249,0.9436,1,8.31,1.0,1,0.7,-0.7,-1,True
Risk appetite returns as banking fears subside,risk_on,-1,risk-on,bullish,1,0.8041,0.862,0.8742,1,8.0,0.0,0,0.6,-0.6,-1,True
Global equities rally on strong earnings and easing tensions,risk_on,-1,risk-on,bullish,1,0.8014,0.8231,0.9486,1,8.36,1.0,1,0.7,-0.7,-1,True
Gold hits record high as central banks keep buying bullion,gold_direct,1,direct demand,bullish,1,0.9749,0.984,0.9816,1,8.3,1.0,1,0.8,0.9,1,True
Gold ETFs post biggest weekly inflows in three years,gold_direct,1,investment inflows,bullish,1,0.9531,0.9705,0.9648,1,8.35,0.0,0,0.7,0.8,1,True
China's central bank extends gold buying spree to 18th month,gold_direct,1,official-sector demand,bullish,1,0.9734,0.9812,0.984,1,8.83,0.0,0,0.6,0.7,1,True
Miners struggle to meet gold demand as supply deficit widens,gold_direct,1,supply deficit,bullish,1,0.3964,0.6834,0.4086,1,8.3,-1.0,-1,0.5,0.6,1,True
Gold slides 2% as investors book profits after record run,gold_direct,-1,profit-taking pressure,bearish,-1,-0.9588,0.9741,0.969,-1,8.73,-1.0,-1,-0.6,-0.8,-1,True
Gold tumbles below key support as ETF outflows accelerate,gold_direct,-1,outflows,bearish,-1,-0.9792,0.9856,0.987,-1,8.33,-1.0,-1,-0.7,-0.9,-1,True
Bullion demand weakens as Indian jewellery buying stalls,gold_direct,-1,physical demand soft,neutral,0,0.0555,0.9424,0.8848,0,8.09,-1.0,-1,-0.4,-0.5,-1,True
Speculators slash bullish gold bets as dollar strengthens,gold_direct,-1,positioning unwind,bearish,-1,-0.9806,0.9857,0.9898,-1,8.31,1.0,1,-0.5,-0.6,-1,True
"Fed holds rates steady, signals no rate hike on the horizon",negation_traps,1,dovish hold; keyword layer sees the phrase rate hike and flips it gold-bearish,bullish,1,0.7995,0.828,0.9336,1,8.58,-1.0,-1,0.3,0.5,1,True
Powell says no rate cuts until inflation shows sustained cooling,negation_traps,-1,hawkish hold; keyword layer sees rate cut and calls it gold-bullish,bearish,-1,-0.9057,0.9465,0.9174,-1,8.34,1.0,1,-0.2,-0.3,-1,True
Recession fears fade as US data streak beats estimates,negation_traps,-1,fading fear is risk-on; keywords see recession plus beats and cancel out,bullish,1,0.924,0.939,0.9684,1,8.27,0.0,0,0.4,-0.4,-1,True
"Inflation fails to accelerate, easing pressure on the Fed",negation_traps,1,disinflation opens door to cuts,bullish,1,0.9398,0.9554,0.9678,1,8.29,1.0,1,0.3,0.4,1,True
"Fed's Bowman: not yet confident inflation is beaten, cuts premature",negation_traps,-1,hawkish pushback phrased around negations,bearish,-1,-0.5879,0.763,0.6268,-1,8.81,0.0,0,-0.4,-0.5,-1,True
"Central bank stops short of hiking, but warns tightening may resume",negation_traps,-1,hawkish hold with tightening bias,bearish,-1,-0.6592,0.8211,0.6706,-1,8.71,-1.0,-1,-0.3,-0.4,-1,True
"No safe-haven bid for gold despite equity wobble, analysts say",negation_traps,-1,explicitly negated haven demand,bearish,-1,-0.5835,0.7348,0.6584,-1,8.79,0.0,0,-0.3,-0.4,-1,True
"Jobs report not as weak as feared, dollar recovers",negation_traps,-1,less-bad data is dollar-positive,bullish,1,0.4213,0.6791,0.4498,1,8.45,0.0,0,0.3,-0.4,-1,True
US manufacturing output plunges as new orders dry up,inverted_metrics,1,weak economy is dovish/gold-bullish; keyword layer reads plunges as bearish,bullish,1,0.6311,0.6435,0.9622,1,8.33,-1.0,-1,-0.5,0.5,1,True
US factory activity slumps to three-year low,inverted_metrics,1,weak data; keyword reads slumps as bearish,bullish,1,0.8418,0.849,0.9832,1,8.32,-1.0,-1,-0.5,0.5,1,True
Consumer spending falls for third straight month,inverted_metrics,1,weak data; keyword reads falls as bearish,bullish,1,0.9026,0.9082,0.9878,1,7.93,-1.0,-1,-0.5,0.5,1,True
Private payrolls growth slides to weakest pace since 2020,inverted_metrics,1,weak jobs; keyword reads slides as bearish,bullish,1,0.9501,0.957,0.9858,1,8.31,-1.0,-1,-0.5,0.5,1,True
Jobless claims hit two-year high as layoffs spread,inverted_metrics,1,higher claims = weaker economy = gold-bullish,bullish,1,0.371,0.5464,0.5142,1,8.43,0.0,0,-0.5,0.5,1,True
"US unemployment rate hits 4.5%, highest since 2021",inverted_metrics,1,higher unemployment = dovish = gold-bullish,bullish,1,0.1928,0.59,0.1952,1,8.61,0.0,0,-0.6,0.6,1,True
Lakers clinch playoff berth with overtime win over Suns,distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,0.0168,0.9819,0.9638,0,8.27,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
New Marvel film smashes box office records on opening weekend,distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,0.0491,0.9466,0.8932,0,8.33,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
Apple unveils thinner MacBook with faster chip lineup,distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,0.0028,0.9959,0.9918,0,8.07,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
Scientists discover new deep-sea species off Pacific coast,distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,0.0085,0.9905,0.981,0,8.54,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
Heavy rain forecast for the Midwest through the weekend,distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,-0.0079,0.9169,0.8338,0,8.24,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
Streaming service raises subscription prices in Europe,distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,0.0012,0.9971,0.9942,0,7.93,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
"Electric vehicle startup recalls 12,000 cars over software glitch",distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,0.0014,0.9982,0.9964,0,8.46,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
Local elections see record turnout in several US states,distractors,0,irrelevant,neutral,0,0.0343,0.9483,0.8966,0,8.48,0.0,0,0.0,0.0,0,True
1 headline category exp rationale model_label model_cls model_score model_conf model_margin model_cls_band model_ms kw_xau kw_cls ds_s ds_xau ds_cls ds_cached
2 Powell says restrictive policy needed for longer as inflation proves sticky hawkish_fed -1 higher-for-longer rates lift real yields, gold-bearish bullish 1 0.435 0.71 0.4416 1 10.24 0.0 0 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
3 Fed minutes show officials leaning toward two more rate hikes this year hawkish_fed -1 more hikes = stronger dollar/yields bearish -1 -0.9869 0.9895 0.9948 -1 8.82 -1.0 -1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
4 Hot CPI print fuels bets on additional Fed tightening hawkish_fed -1 tightening expectations weigh on gold bearish -1 -0.9821 0.9882 0.9878 -1 8.62 -1.0 -1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
5 Fed's Waller: higher-for-longer rates warranted by resilient economy hawkish_fed -1 hawkish guidance bearish -1 -0.9816 0.989 0.9852 -1 8.9 1.0 1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
6 FOMC raises rates 50bp, flags further increases ahead hawkish_fed -1 outsized hike plus hawkish guidance bearish -1 -0.9705 0.9819 0.9772 -1 8.36 0.0 0 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
7 Treasury yields spike as Fed pushes back on rate cut hopes hawkish_fed -1 cut hopes dashed, yields up bearish -1 -0.9821 0.9885 0.987 -1 8.52 1.0 1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
8 Core inflation accelerates, cementing case for hawkish Fed stance hawkish_fed -1 hawkish repricing bearish -1 -0.9839 0.9898 0.988 -1 8.47 0.0 0 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
9 Fed dot plot shifts higher; markets price out easing for the year hawkish_fed -1 easing priced out bearish -1 -0.8147 0.8881 0.8474 -1 8.79 1.0 1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
10 Fed cuts rates 25bp and signals more easing to come dovish_fed 1 easing cycle is gold-bullish bullish 1 0.9611 0.9785 0.9652 1 8.51 1.0 1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
11 Powell hints at rate cuts as inflation cools toward target dovish_fed 1 cut guidance bullish 1 0.9687 0.9818 0.9736 1 8.52 1.0 1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
12 FOMC minutes reveal growing support for policy easing dovish_fed 1 dovish minutes bearish -1 -0.6319 0.813 0.6356 -1 8.11 1.0 1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
13 Fed's Williams says rate cuts appropriate later this year dovish_fed 1 cut guidance bullish 1 0.8866 0.9419 0.889 1 9.01 1.0 1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
14 Soft inflation data boosts odds of a dovish Fed pivot dovish_fed 1 pivot odds up bullish 1 0.6963 0.846 0.6992 1 8.48 1.0 1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
15 Fed pauses hikes, markets price aggressive easing cycle dovish_fed 1 easing priced in bullish 1 0.9659 0.9805 0.9706 1 8.3 1.0 1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
16 Central banks turn dovish as global growth falters dovish_fed 1 global easing backdrop bullish 1 0.963 0.9793 0.9672 1 8.31 1.0 1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
17 Fed to restart bond purchases to support flagging economy dovish_fed 1 QE is gold-bullish bullish 1 0.8518 0.8915 0.9148 1 8.26 0.0 0 -0.4 0.7 1 True
18 Dollar index hits 12-month high on robust US economic data strong_usd -1 strong dollar pressures gold bearish -1 -0.977 0.9862 0.9816 -1 8.56 1.0 1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
19 US GDP grows 4.1% annualized, blowing past expectations strong_usd -1 strong economy, hawkish implication bearish -1 -0.9141 0.9473 0.9324 -1 8.6 0.0 0 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
20 Blockbuster jobs report sends dollar surging across the board strong_usd -1 strong jobs lift dollar and yields bearish -1 -0.7855 0.8878 0.7934 -1 8.45 0.0 0 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
21 US retail sales smash forecasts, underscoring consumer strength strong_usd -1 strong data bullish 1 0.0678 0.4828 0.0756 0 8.54 0.0 0 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
22 Greenback rallies as US data outshines Europe and Asia strong_usd -1 dollar strength bullish 1 0.5423 0.5931 0.842 1 8.98 0.0 0 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
23 ISM services index jumps to two-year high on strong demand strong_usd -1 strong data bullish 1 0.5227 0.7138 0.5778 1 9.02 1.0 1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
24 Consumer confidence surges to post-pandemic high in the US strong_usd -1 strong data bullish 1 0.8318 0.8869 0.8828 1 8.85 1.0 1 0.4 -0.7 -1 True
25 Dollar tumbles to eight-month low after dismal manufacturing data weak_usd 1 weak dollar lifts gold bullish 1 0.9782 0.987 0.9824 1 8.67 -1.0 -1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
26 US economy adds far fewer jobs than expected; dollar slides weak_usd 1 weak jobs, dovish implication bullish 1 0.9593 0.9647 0.9888 1 8.63 -1.0 -1 -0.4 0.7 1 True
27 Greenback weakens as US retail sales unexpectedly contract weak_usd 1 weak data neutral 0 0.0424 0.9499 0.8998 0 8.41 -1.0 -1 -0.4 0.6 1 True
28 US GDP growth revised down sharply, stoking slowdown fears weak_usd 1 slowdown is dovish bullish 1 0.9198 0.9543 0.9304 1 8.39 0.0 0 -0.5 0.5 1 True
29 Dollar slumps as trade deficit balloons to record weak_usd 1 dollar weakness bullish 1 0.9755 0.9822 0.9864 1 8.3 -1.0 -1 -0.4 0.5 1 True
30 Soft services PMI adds to evidence of cooling US economy weak_usd 1 cooling economy bullish 1 0.9491 0.9568 0.984 1 8.31 0.0 0 -0.4 0.4 1 True
31 US consumer sentiment plunges to two-year low weak_usd 1 weak data bullish 1 0.9674 0.9767 0.981 1 8.48 -1.0 -1 -0.5 0.5 1 True
32 Real yields climb to multi-year highs as TIPS sell off real_yields -1 rising real yields raise gold's opportunity cost bearish -1 -0.9657 0.9814 0.9684 -1 9.08 0.0 0 0.6 -0.8 -1 True
33 10-year Treasury yield surges past 5% on supply glut real_yields -1 yield spike bearish -1 -0.9467 0.9716 0.95 -1 8.58 1.0 1 0.6 -0.8 -1 True
34 Rising real interest rates dim appeal of non-yielding assets real_yields -1 explicit opportunity-cost story bullish 1 0.2024 0.5906 0.2068 1 8.55 0.0 0 0.5 -0.7 -1 True
35 Treasury yields sink as investors flock to bonds real_yields 1 falling yields support gold bullish 1 0.9594 0.9674 0.9838 1 8.18 0.0 0 -0.5 0.6 1 True
36 Real yields turn negative as inflation outpaces rates real_yields 1 negative real yields are gold's best backdrop bullish 1 0.9367 0.962 0.9488 1 8.27 0.0 0 -0.6 0.8 1 True
37 Bond rally drives 10-year yield to lowest level in a year real_yields 1 falling yields bullish 1 0.9671 0.98 0.974 1 8.67 1.0 1 -0.5 0.6 1 True
38 Geopolitical tensions escalate in Middle East, investors seek safety safe_haven 1 safe-haven bid bullish 1 0.9226 0.9402 0.9632 1 8.56 0.0 0 -0.7 0.8 1 True
39 Stocks crater worldwide as banking crisis fears spread safe_haven 1 crisis flight to safety bullish 1 0.9016 0.9459 0.9106 1 8.15 0.0 0 -0.8 0.9 1 True
40 Escalating conflict drives flight to safe-haven assets safe_haven 1 explicit haven flow bearish -1 -0.643 0.8165 0.6494 -1 8.55 0.0 0 -0.7 0.8 1 True
41 Investors dump risk assets after surprise sovereign default safe_haven 1 default shock bullish 1 0.755 0.8659 0.7728 1 8.18 0.0 0 -0.8 0.9 1 True
42 Military escalation on NATO border rattles global markets safe_haven 1 geopolitical stress bullish 1 0.9496 0.9693 0.9602 1 8.1 0.0 0 -0.7 0.8 1 True
43 Wall Street plunges 4% in worst session since pandemic safe_haven 1 risk-off bullish 1 0.9767 0.9835 0.9864 1 8.48 -1.0 -1 -0.8 0.9 1 True
44 Currency crisis in emerging markets sparks contagion fears safe_haven 1 contagion, haven bid bullish 1 0.9199 0.9372 0.9636 1 8.18 0.0 0 -0.7 0.8 1 True
45 Nuclear rhetoric intensifies, sending investors to havens safe_haven 1 extreme geopolitical stress bullish 1 0.6647 0.8294 0.6686 1 8.26 0.0 0 -0.8 0.9 1 True
46 Ceasefire agreement lifts global markets, haven demand fades risk_on -1 haven unwind bullish 1 0.8567 0.8672 0.976 1 8.39 0.0 0 0.6 -0.7 -1 True
47 Stocks roar to record highs as trade deal signed risk_on -1 risk-on drains haven demand bullish 1 0.7039 0.7249 0.9436 1 8.31 1.0 1 0.7 -0.7 -1 True
48 Risk appetite returns as banking fears subside risk_on -1 risk-on bullish 1 0.8041 0.862 0.8742 1 8.0 0.0 0 0.6 -0.6 -1 True
49 Global equities rally on strong earnings and easing tensions risk_on -1 risk-on bullish 1 0.8014 0.8231 0.9486 1 8.36 1.0 1 0.7 -0.7 -1 True
50 Gold hits record high as central banks keep buying bullion gold_direct 1 direct demand bullish 1 0.9749 0.984 0.9816 1 8.3 1.0 1 0.8 0.9 1 True
51 Gold ETFs post biggest weekly inflows in three years gold_direct 1 investment inflows bullish 1 0.9531 0.9705 0.9648 1 8.35 0.0 0 0.7 0.8 1 True
52 China's central bank extends gold buying spree to 18th month gold_direct 1 official-sector demand bullish 1 0.9734 0.9812 0.984 1 8.83 0.0 0 0.6 0.7 1 True
53 Miners struggle to meet gold demand as supply deficit widens gold_direct 1 supply deficit bullish 1 0.3964 0.6834 0.4086 1 8.3 -1.0 -1 0.5 0.6 1 True
54 Gold slides 2% as investors book profits after record run gold_direct -1 profit-taking pressure bearish -1 -0.9588 0.9741 0.969 -1 8.73 -1.0 -1 -0.6 -0.8 -1 True
55 Gold tumbles below key support as ETF outflows accelerate gold_direct -1 outflows bearish -1 -0.9792 0.9856 0.987 -1 8.33 -1.0 -1 -0.7 -0.9 -1 True
56 Bullion demand weakens as Indian jewellery buying stalls gold_direct -1 physical demand soft neutral 0 0.0555 0.9424 0.8848 0 8.09 -1.0 -1 -0.4 -0.5 -1 True
57 Speculators slash bullish gold bets as dollar strengthens gold_direct -1 positioning unwind bearish -1 -0.9806 0.9857 0.9898 -1 8.31 1.0 1 -0.5 -0.6 -1 True
58 Fed holds rates steady, signals no rate hike on the horizon negation_traps 1 dovish hold; keyword layer sees the phrase rate hike and flips it gold-bearish bullish 1 0.7995 0.828 0.9336 1 8.58 -1.0 -1 0.3 0.5 1 True
59 Powell says no rate cuts until inflation shows sustained cooling negation_traps -1 hawkish hold; keyword layer sees rate cut and calls it gold-bullish bearish -1 -0.9057 0.9465 0.9174 -1 8.34 1.0 1 -0.2 -0.3 -1 True
60 Recession fears fade as US data streak beats estimates negation_traps -1 fading fear is risk-on; keywords see recession plus beats and cancel out bullish 1 0.924 0.939 0.9684 1 8.27 0.0 0 0.4 -0.4 -1 True
61 Inflation fails to accelerate, easing pressure on the Fed negation_traps 1 disinflation opens door to cuts bullish 1 0.9398 0.9554 0.9678 1 8.29 1.0 1 0.3 0.4 1 True
62 Fed's Bowman: not yet confident inflation is beaten, cuts premature negation_traps -1 hawkish pushback phrased around negations bearish -1 -0.5879 0.763 0.6268 -1 8.81 0.0 0 -0.4 -0.5 -1 True
63 Central bank stops short of hiking, but warns tightening may resume negation_traps -1 hawkish hold with tightening bias bearish -1 -0.6592 0.8211 0.6706 -1 8.71 -1.0 -1 -0.3 -0.4 -1 True
64 No safe-haven bid for gold despite equity wobble, analysts say negation_traps -1 explicitly negated haven demand bearish -1 -0.5835 0.7348 0.6584 -1 8.79 0.0 0 -0.3 -0.4 -1 True
65 Jobs report not as weak as feared, dollar recovers negation_traps -1 less-bad data is dollar-positive bullish 1 0.4213 0.6791 0.4498 1 8.45 0.0 0 0.3 -0.4 -1 True
66 US manufacturing output plunges as new orders dry up inverted_metrics 1 weak economy is dovish/gold-bullish; keyword layer reads plunges as bearish bullish 1 0.6311 0.6435 0.9622 1 8.33 -1.0 -1 -0.5 0.5 1 True
67 US factory activity slumps to three-year low inverted_metrics 1 weak data; keyword reads slumps as bearish bullish 1 0.8418 0.849 0.9832 1 8.32 -1.0 -1 -0.5 0.5 1 True
68 Consumer spending falls for third straight month inverted_metrics 1 weak data; keyword reads falls as bearish bullish 1 0.9026 0.9082 0.9878 1 7.93 -1.0 -1 -0.5 0.5 1 True
69 Private payrolls growth slides to weakest pace since 2020 inverted_metrics 1 weak jobs; keyword reads slides as bearish bullish 1 0.9501 0.957 0.9858 1 8.31 -1.0 -1 -0.5 0.5 1 True
70 Jobless claims hit two-year high as layoffs spread inverted_metrics 1 higher claims = weaker economy = gold-bullish bullish 1 0.371 0.5464 0.5142 1 8.43 0.0 0 -0.5 0.5 1 True
71 US unemployment rate hits 4.5%, highest since 2021 inverted_metrics 1 higher unemployment = dovish = gold-bullish bullish 1 0.1928 0.59 0.1952 1 8.61 0.0 0 -0.6 0.6 1 True
72 Lakers clinch playoff berth with overtime win over Suns distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 0.0168 0.9819 0.9638 0 8.27 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True
73 New Marvel film smashes box office records on opening weekend distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 0.0491 0.9466 0.8932 0 8.33 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True
74 Apple unveils thinner MacBook with faster chip lineup distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 0.0028 0.9959 0.9918 0 8.07 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True
75 Scientists discover new deep-sea species off Pacific coast distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 0.0085 0.9905 0.981 0 8.54 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True
76 Heavy rain forecast for the Midwest through the weekend distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 -0.0079 0.9169 0.8338 0 8.24 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True
77 Streaming service raises subscription prices in Europe distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 0.0012 0.9971 0.9942 0 7.93 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True
78 Electric vehicle startup recalls 12,000 cars over software glitch distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 0.0014 0.9982 0.9964 0 8.46 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True
79 Local elections see record turnout in several US states distractors 0 irrelevant neutral 0 0.0343 0.9483 0.8966 0 8.48 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 True