DeepSeek deepseek-v4-flash, prompt d32e04c6; budget 200 calls
pools: precise 6600, broad 0 unlabelled; picked 5000
selected 5000 unlabelled headlines
  250 labelled, 10 calls (0 failed), 0 from cache
  500 labelled, 20 calls (0 failed), 0 from cache
  DeepSeek batch of 25 failed (attempt 1/3, None) — retrying
  750 labelled, 31 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  1000 labelled, 41 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  1250 labelled, 51 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  1500 labelled, 61 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  1750 labelled, 71 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  2000 labelled, 81 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  2250 labelled, 91 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  2500 labelled, 101 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  2750 labelled, 111 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  3000 labelled, 121 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  3250 labelled, 131 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  3500 labelled, 141 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  3750 labelled, 151 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  4000 labelled, 161 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  4250 labelled, 171 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  4500 labelled, 181 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  4750 labelled, 191 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
  4975 labelled, 200 calls (1 failed), 0 from cache
this run: 200 calls, 1 failed, 4975 headlines labelled
14625 labelled headlines
  year       n   bear  irrel   bull  relevant  mean xau
  2009      10      0     10      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2010      10      0     10      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2011      10      0     10      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2012       2      0      2      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2015      13      0     13      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2016       6      0      6      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2017      33      0     33      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2018      19      0     19      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2019    1003     78    648    184    26.1%    +0.056
  2020    1211     80    762    219    24.7%    +0.064
  2021    1264    104    876    151    20.2%    +0.018
  2022    1536    145    930    284    27.9%    +0.045
  2023    1691    145   1082    295    26.0%    +0.046
  2024    2047    132   1325    408    26.4%    +0.071
  2025    3071    222   1671    829    34.2%    +0.109
  2026    2699    345   1379    635    36.3%    +0.047
  (relevant = |xau| >= 0.25, irrel = |xau| <= 0.10, the rest is the grey zone)