{
  "band": 0.15,
  "band_sweep": {
    "0.05": {
      "hits": 51,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 9
    },
    "0.1": {
      "hits": 52,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 13
    },
    "0.15": {
      "hits": 50,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 20
    },
    "0.2": {
      "hits": 45,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 26
    },
    "0.3": {
      "hits": 38,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 40
    },
    "0.5": {
      "hits": 28,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 53
    }
  },
  "blocks": {
    "DeepSeek live (xau through band \u00b10.15)": {
      "accuracy": 1.0,
      "confusion": [
        [
          32,
          0,
          0
        ],
        [
          0,
          8,
          0
        ],
        [
          0,
          0,
          38
        ]
      ],
      "directional_accuracy": 1.0,
      "directional_hits": 70,
      "directional_n": 70,
      "hits": 78,
      "macro_f1": 1.0,
      "n": 78,
      "sign_agreement": 1.0,
      "sign_hits": 70,
      "sign_n": 70
    },
    "keyword fallback (band \u00b10.15)": {
      "accuracy": 0.3076923076923077,
      "confusion": [
        [
          6,
          15,
          11
        ],
        [
          0,
          8,
          0
        ],
        [
          12,
          16,
          10
        ]
      ],
      "directional_accuracy": 0.22857142857142856,
      "directional_hits": 16,
      "directional_n": 70,
      "hits": 24,
      "macro_f1": 0.30646952758745044,
      "n": 78,
      "sign_agreement": 0.41025641025641024,
      "sign_hits": 16,
      "sign_n": 39
    },
    "model (native argmax label)": {
      "accuracy": 0.6153846153846154,
      "confusion": [
        [
          16,
          5,
          11
        ],
        [
          0,
          8,
          0
        ],
        [
          6,
          8,
          24
        ]
      ],
      "directional_accuracy": 0.5714285714285714,
      "directional_hits": 40,
      "directional_n": 70,
      "hits": 48,
      "macro_f1": 0.6006169923663232,
      "n": 78,
      "sign_agreement": 0.7017543859649122,
      "sign_hits": 40,
      "sign_n": 57
    },
    "model (score through band \u00b10.15)": {
      "accuracy": 0.6410256410256411,
      "confusion": [
        [
          16,
          5,
          11
        ],
        [
          0,
          8,
          0
        ],
        [
          5,
          7,
          26
        ]
      ],
      "directional_accuracy": 0.6,
      "directional_hits": 42,
      "directional_n": 70,
      "hits": 50,
      "macro_f1": 0.6228451632225217,
      "n": 78,
      "sign_agreement": 0.7241379310344828,
      "sign_hits": 42,
      "sign_n": 58
    }
  },
  "deepseek": {
    "batch_ms_max": null,
    "batch_ms_mean": null,
    "cache_hits": 78,
    "calls": 0,
    "failed_calls": 0,
    "headlines_sent": 0,
    "model": "deepseek-v4-flash",
    "per_headline_ms": null,
    "prompt_sha1": "d32e04c6a87d019f326f111b39c99b6dd8ce794d"
  },
  "deepseek_scored": 78,
  "generated_at": "20260927_1859_transformer",
  "mcnemar": {
    "model_vs_deepseek": {
      "deepseek_only_right": 30,
      "model_only_right": 0,
      "p": 1.862645149230957e-09
    },
    "model_vs_keyword": {
      "keyword_only_right": 6,
      "model_only_right": 30,
      "p": 6.960169412195683e-05
    }
  },
  "model": {
    "final": false,
    "model_path": "/home/harwinder/Development/ML-NEWS/models/xau_transformer",
    "model_type": "two_head_transformer:microsoft/deberta-v3-small",
    "oos_from": "2026-09-18",
    "relevance_threshold": 0.2,
    "trained_at": "2026-09-27T18:58:27.596998+00:00",
    "training_examples": 2402
  },
  "model_latency_ms": {
    "max": 10.71,
    "mean": 8.942564102564102,
    "median": 8.87
  },
  "n": 78,
  "per_category": {
    "distractors": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 8,
      "model": 8,
      "n": 8
    },
    "dovish_fed": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 7,
      "model": 4,
      "n": 8
    },
    "gold_direct": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 4,
      "model": 6,
      "n": 8
    },
    "hawkish_fed": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 2,
      "model": 7,
      "n": 8
    },
    "inverted_metrics": {
      "deepseek": 6,
      "deepseek_n": 6,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 1,
      "n": 6
    },
    "negation_traps": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 2,
      "model": 3,
      "n": 8
    },
    "real_yields": {
      "deepseek": 6,
      "deepseek_n": 6,
      "keyword": 1,
      "model": 5,
      "n": 6
    },
    "risk_on": {
      "deepseek": 4,
      "deepseek_n": 4,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 0,
      "n": 4
    },
    "safe_haven": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 8,
      "n": 8
    },
    "strong_usd": {
      "deepseek": 7,
      "deepseek_n": 7,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 1,
      "n": 7
    },
    "weak_usd": {
      "deepseek": 7,
      "deepseek_n": 7,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 5,
      "n": 7
    }
  },
  "spearman_model_vs_deepseek": 0.5012357134215089
}