{
  "band": 0.15,
  "band_sweep": {
    "0.05": {
      "hits": 64,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 9
    },
    "0.1": {
      "hits": 62,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 13
    },
    "0.15": {
      "hits": 62,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 13
    },
    "0.2": {
      "hits": 62,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 14
    },
    "0.3": {
      "hits": 63,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 18
    },
    "0.5": {
      "hits": 63,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 19
    }
  },
  "blocks": {
    "DeepSeek live (xau through band \u00b10.15)": {
      "accuracy": 1.0,
      "confusion": [
        [
          32,
          0,
          0
        ],
        [
          0,
          8,
          0
        ],
        [
          0,
          0,
          38
        ]
      ],
      "directional_accuracy": 1.0,
      "directional_hits": 70,
      "directional_n": 70,
      "hits": 78,
      "macro_f1": 1.0,
      "n": 78,
      "sign_agreement": 1.0,
      "sign_hits": 70,
      "sign_n": 70
    },
    "keyword fallback (band \u00b10.15)": {
      "accuracy": 0.3076923076923077,
      "confusion": [
        [
          6,
          15,
          11
        ],
        [
          0,
          8,
          0
        ],
        [
          12,
          16,
          10
        ]
      ],
      "directional_accuracy": 0.22857142857142856,
      "directional_hits": 16,
      "directional_n": 70,
      "hits": 24,
      "macro_f1": 0.30646952758745044,
      "n": 78,
      "sign_agreement": 0.41025641025641024,
      "sign_hits": 16,
      "sign_n": 39
    },
    "model (native argmax label)": {
      "accuracy": 0.8333333333333334,
      "confusion": [
        [
          22,
          4,
          6
        ],
        [
          0,
          8,
          0
        ],
        [
          1,
          2,
          35
        ]
      ],
      "directional_accuracy": 0.8142857142857143,
      "directional_hits": 57,
      "directional_n": 70,
      "hits": 65,
      "macro_f1": 0.8044495588799387,
      "n": 78,
      "sign_agreement": 0.890625,
      "sign_hits": 57,
      "sign_n": 64
    },
    "model (score through band \u00b10.15)": {
      "accuracy": 0.7948717948717948,
      "confusion": [
        [
          21,
          3,
          8
        ],
        [
          0,
          7,
          1
        ],
        [
          1,
          3,
          34
        ]
      ],
      "directional_accuracy": 0.7857142857142857,
      "directional_hits": 55,
      "directional_n": 70,
      "hits": 62,
      "macro_f1": 0.7613168724279835,
      "n": 78,
      "sign_agreement": 0.859375,
      "sign_hits": 55,
      "sign_n": 64
    }
  },
  "deepseek": {
    "batch_ms_max": null,
    "batch_ms_mean": null,
    "cache_hits": 78,
    "calls": 0,
    "failed_calls": 0,
    "headlines_sent": 0,
    "model": "deepseek-v4-flash",
    "per_headline_ms": null,
    "prompt_sha1": "d32e04c6a87d019f326f111b39c99b6dd8ce794d"
  },
  "deepseek_scored": 78,
  "generated_at": "20260927_1931_transformer",
  "mcnemar": {
    "model_vs_deepseek": {
      "deepseek_only_right": 13,
      "model_only_right": 0,
      "p": 0.000244140625
    },
    "model_vs_keyword": {
      "keyword_only_right": 1,
      "model_only_right": 42,
      "p": 1.000444171950221e-11
    }
  },
  "model": {
    "final": true,
    "model_path": "/home/harwinder/Development/ML-NEWS/models/xau_transformer",
    "model_type": "two_head_transformer:microsoft/deberta-v3-small",
    "oos_from": "2026-09-27T19:30:29.972662+00:00",
    "relevance_threshold": 0.6,
    "trained_at": "2026-09-27T19:30:29.972662+00:00",
    "training_examples": 8870
  },
  "model_latency_ms": {
    "max": 9.55,
    "mean": 7.934230769230769,
    "median": 7.86
  },
  "n": 78,
  "per_category": {
    "distractors": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 8,
      "model": 8,
      "n": 8
    },
    "dovish_fed": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 7,
      "model": 8,
      "n": 8
    },
    "gold_direct": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 4,
      "model": 7,
      "n": 8
    },
    "hawkish_fed": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 2,
      "model": 7,
      "n": 8
    },
    "inverted_metrics": {
      "deepseek": 6,
      "deepseek_n": 6,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 4,
      "n": 6
    },
    "negation_traps": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 2,
      "model": 7,
      "n": 8
    },
    "real_yields": {
      "deepseek": 6,
      "deepseek_n": 6,
      "keyword": 1,
      "model": 6,
      "n": 6
    },
    "risk_on": {
      "deepseek": 4,
      "deepseek_n": 4,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 1,
      "n": 4
    },
    "safe_haven": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 8,
      "n": 8
    },
    "strong_usd": {
      "deepseek": 7,
      "deepseek_n": 7,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 3,
      "n": 7
    },
    "weak_usd": {
      "deepseek": 7,
      "deepseek_n": 7,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 6,
      "n": 7
    }
  },
  "spearman_model_vs_deepseek": 0.7746453950710916
}