{ "db": "../newsdata.db", "generated_at": "20260927_1907_transformer", "in_sample_or_mixed": { "headline": { "accuracy": 0.7375805839969662, "confusion": [ [ 774, 84, 58 ], [ 64, 715, 117 ], [ 109, 260, 456 ] ], "directional_accuracy": 0.7064905226881103, "directional_hits": 1230, "directional_n": 1741, "hits": 1945, "macro_f1": 0.7295831004270902, "mae": 0.30792290481607887, "n": 2637, "sign_agreement": 0.8804581245526127, "sign_hits": 1230, "sign_n": 1397, "spearman": 0.7678844230729466 } }, "model": { "final": false, "model_path": "/home/harwinder/Development/ML-NEWS/models/xau_transformer", "model_type": "two_head_transformer:microsoft/deberta-v3-small", "oos_from": "2026-09-18", "relevance_threshold": 0.2, "trained_at": "2026-09-27T19:03:25.366953+00:00", "training_examples": 2402 }, "out_of_sample": { "all": { "accuracy": 0.6565557729941291, "confusion": [ [ 227, 36, 44 ], [ 26, 266, 74 ], [ 53, 118, 178 ] ], "directional_accuracy": 0.6173780487804879, "directional_hits": 405, "directional_n": 656, "hits": 671, "macro_f1": 0.6564675567772849, "n": 1022, "sign_agreement": 0.8067729083665338, "sign_hits": 405, "sign_n": 502 }, "gold": { "accuracy": 0.7507987220447284, "confusion": [ [ 91, 4, 14 ], [ 9, 31, 19 ], [ 10, 22, 113 ] ], "directional_accuracy": 0.8031496062992126, "directional_hits": 204, "directional_n": 254, "hits": 235, "macro_f1": 0.7140550964455633, "n": 313, "sign_agreement": 0.8947368421052632, "sign_hits": 204, "sign_n": 228 }, "macro": { "accuracy": 0.614950634696756, "confusion": [ [ 136, 32, 30 ], [ 17, 235, 55 ], [ 43, 96, 65 ] ], "directional_accuracy": 0.5, "directional_hits": 201, "directional_n": 402, "hits": 436, "macro_f1": 0.5863598352269169, "n": 709, "sign_agreement": 0.7335766423357665, "sign_hits": 201, "sign_n": 274 } }, "relevance_out_of_sample": { "direction_accuracy": 0.8976377952755905, "direction_n": 381, "f1": 0.775881683731513, "n": 881, "precision": 0.6847389558232931, "recall": 0.89501312335958 }, "rows": 2637, "threshold": 0.05 }