DeepSeek deepseek-v4-flash, prompt d32e04c6; budget 140 calls
pools: precise 3491, broad 18244 unlabelled; picked 3500
selected 3500 unlabelled headlines
  250 labelled, 10 calls (0 failed), 0 from cache
  500 labelled, 20 calls (0 failed), 0 from cache
  750 labelled, 30 calls (0 failed), 0 from cache
  1000 labelled, 40 calls (0 failed), 0 from cache
  1250 labelled, 50 calls (0 failed), 0 from cache
  DeepSeek batch of 25 failed (attempt 1/3, None) — retrying
  DeepSeek batch of 25 failed (attempt 2/3, None) — retrying
  DeepSeek batch of 25 failed (attempt 3/3, None) — retrying
  1475 labelled, 62 calls (3 failed), 0 from cache
  1725 labelled, 72 calls (3 failed), 0 from cache
  1975 labelled, 82 calls (3 failed), 0 from cache
WARNING llm_client: DeepSeek HTTP 502: <html>
<head><title>502 Bad Gateway</title></head>
<body>
<center><h1>502 Bad Gateway</h1></center>
<hr><center>nginx</center>
</body>
</html>

  DeepSeek batch of 25 failed (attempt 1/3, (1790538226.2151284, 'http_502')) — retrying
  2225 labelled, 93 calls (4 failed), 0 from cache
  2475 labelled, 103 calls (4 failed), 0 from cache
  2725 labelled, 113 calls (4 failed), 0 from cache
  2975 labelled, 123 calls (4 failed), 0 from cache
  3225 labelled, 133 calls (4 failed), 0 from cache
  3400 labelled, 140 calls (4 failed), 0 from cache
this run: 140 calls, 4 failed, 3400 headlines labelled
9650 labelled headlines
  year       n   bear  irrel   bull  relevant  mean xau
  2009      10      0     10      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2010      10      0     10      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2011      10      0     10      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2012       2      0      2      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2015      13      0     13      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2016       6      0      6      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2017      33      0     33      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2018      19      0     19      0     0.0%    +0.000
  2019     653     48    423    135    28.0%    +0.073
  2020     701     58    438    139    28.1%    +0.075
  2021     790     71    562    103    22.0%    +0.025
  2022    1091    127    641    207    30.6%    +0.037
  2023    1184    121    731    225    29.2%    +0.045
  2024    1270    106    753    307    32.5%    +0.086
  2025    2010    188    953    660    42.2%    +0.130
  2026    1848    316    823    495    43.9%    +0.042
  (relevant = |xau| >= 0.25, irrel = |xau| <= 0.10, the rest is the grey zone)