{
  "band": 0.15,
  "band_sweep": {
    "0.05": {
      "hits": 37,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 5
    },
    "0.1": {
      "hits": 35,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 11
    },
    "0.15": {
      "hits": 36,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 21
    },
    "0.2": {
      "hits": 33,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 26
    },
    "0.3": {
      "hits": 27,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 42
    },
    "0.5": {
      "hits": 17,
      "n": 78,
      "neutral_predicted": 65
    }
  },
  "blocks": {
    "DeepSeek live (xau through band \u00b10.15)": {
      "accuracy": 1.0,
      "confusion": [
        [
          32,
          0,
          0
        ],
        [
          0,
          8,
          0
        ],
        [
          0,
          0,
          38
        ]
      ],
      "directional_accuracy": 1.0,
      "directional_hits": 70,
      "directional_n": 70,
      "hits": 78,
      "macro_f1": 1.0,
      "n": 78,
      "sign_agreement": 1.0,
      "sign_hits": 70,
      "sign_n": 70
    },
    "keyword fallback (band \u00b10.15)": {
      "accuracy": 0.3076923076923077,
      "confusion": [
        [
          6,
          15,
          11
        ],
        [
          0,
          8,
          0
        ],
        [
          12,
          16,
          10
        ]
      ],
      "directional_accuracy": 0.22857142857142856,
      "directional_hits": 16,
      "directional_n": 70,
      "hits": 24,
      "macro_f1": 0.30646952758745044,
      "n": 78,
      "sign_agreement": 0.41025641025641024,
      "sign_hits": 16,
      "sign_n": 39
    },
    "model (native argmax label)": {
      "accuracy": 0.5,
      "confusion": [
        [
          13,
          2,
          17
        ],
        [
          2,
          1,
          5
        ],
        [
          12,
          1,
          25
        ]
      ],
      "directional_accuracy": 0.5428571428571428,
      "directional_hits": 38,
      "directional_n": 70,
      "hits": 39,
      "macro_f1": 0.3985266422953362,
      "n": 78,
      "sign_agreement": 0.5671641791044776,
      "sign_hits": 38,
      "sign_n": 67
    },
    "model (score through band \u00b10.15)": {
      "accuracy": 0.46153846153846156,
      "confusion": [
        [
          11,
          7,
          14
        ],
        [
          2,
          4,
          2
        ],
        [
          7,
          10,
          21
        ]
      ],
      "directional_accuracy": 0.45714285714285713,
      "directional_hits": 32,
      "directional_n": 70,
      "hits": 36,
      "macro_f1": 0.4196463306808134,
      "n": 78,
      "sign_agreement": 0.6037735849056604,
      "sign_hits": 32,
      "sign_n": 53
    }
  },
  "deepseek": {
    "batch_ms_max": null,
    "batch_ms_mean": null,
    "cache_hits": 78,
    "calls": 0,
    "failed_calls": 0,
    "headlines_sent": 0,
    "model": "deepseek-v4-flash",
    "per_headline_ms": null,
    "prompt_sha1": "d32e04c6a87d019f326f111b39c99b6dd8ce794d"
  },
  "deepseek_scored": 78,
  "generated_at": "20260923_0036_xauusd_sentiment",
  "mcnemar": {
    "model_vs_deepseek": {
      "deepseek_only_right": 39,
      "model_only_right": 0,
      "p": 3.637978807091713e-12
    },
    "model_vs_keyword": {
      "keyword_only_right": 13,
      "model_only_right": 28,
      "p": 0.027533155829587486
    }
  },
  "model": {
    "label_distribution": {
      "bearish": 250,
      "bullish": 221,
      "neutral": 135
    },
    "model_path": "../models/xauusd_sentiment.joblib",
    "model_type": "domain_augmented_tfidf_logistic_regression",
    "neutral_threshold": 0.05,
    "sklearn_version": "1.9.1",
    "trained_at": "2026-09-17T18:54:46.714699+00:00",
    "training_examples": 606
  },
  "model_latency_ms": {
    "max": 6.73,
    "mean": 1.0356410256410256,
    "median": 0.94
  },
  "n": 78,
  "per_category": {
    "distractors": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 8,
      "model": 1,
      "n": 8
    },
    "dovish_fed": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 7,
      "model": 6,
      "n": 8
    },
    "gold_direct": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 4,
      "model": 8,
      "n": 8
    },
    "hawkish_fed": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 2,
      "model": 3,
      "n": 8
    },
    "inverted_metrics": {
      "deepseek": 6,
      "deepseek_n": 6,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 3,
      "n": 6
    },
    "negation_traps": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 2,
      "model": 0,
      "n": 8
    },
    "real_yields": {
      "deepseek": 6,
      "deepseek_n": 6,
      "keyword": 1,
      "model": 3,
      "n": 6
    },
    "risk_on": {
      "deepseek": 4,
      "deepseek_n": 4,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 1,
      "n": 4
    },
    "safe_haven": {
      "deepseek": 8,
      "deepseek_n": 8,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 8,
      "n": 8
    },
    "strong_usd": {
      "deepseek": 7,
      "deepseek_n": 7,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 2,
      "n": 7
    },
    "weak_usd": {
      "deepseek": 7,
      "deepseek_n": 7,
      "keyword": 0,
      "model": 4,
      "n": 7
    }
  },
  "spearman_model_vs_deepseek": 0.30475630790202185
}