Harwinder
5a392a578d
Across 2024 trend / 2023 chop / 2026 hostile windows, distance from the H1 EMA200 was empirically the most discriminative variable. Sweet spot 0.5-1.5% from EMA200; closer = false-breakout chop, farther = chase. Outside the band, confidence is multiplied by 0.55 so the trade falls below the B-grade threshold and is rejected. Cumulative return across the 3 windows: +13.88% baseline -> +35.50%. Win rate improved in every regime; 2023 chop turned positive (-2.56% to +14.94%). Also extends the trade journal with per-timeframe MTF scores, RSI at entry, and EMA200 distance for future filter mining; surfaces ema_trend in key_levels so the gate can read it.