01baef48ff
TF-IDF baseline (news_sentiment.py, models/xauusd_sentiment.joblib) and the two-head DeBERTa-v3-small transformer (transformer/, news_transformer.py) with its Google News crawler and DeepSeek labeller (data_collect/), the golden-set and archive evals (eval/), and the 2026-09-22 and 2026-09-27 results and progress notes. Transformer weights (model.pt, model.onnx) and the crawl database are not tracked; rebuild with transformer/train.py and transformer/export_onnx.py. The DeepSeek label cache in data/ is tracked.
50 lines
2.4 KiB
Plaintext
50 lines
2.4 KiB
Plaintext
DeepSeek deepseek-v4-flash, prompt d32e04c6; budget 140 calls
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pools: precise 3491, broad 18244 unlabelled; picked 3500
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selected 3500 unlabelled headlines
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250 labelled, 10 calls (0 failed), 0 from cache
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500 labelled, 20 calls (0 failed), 0 from cache
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750 labelled, 30 calls (0 failed), 0 from cache
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1000 labelled, 40 calls (0 failed), 0 from cache
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1250 labelled, 50 calls (0 failed), 0 from cache
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DeepSeek batch of 25 failed (attempt 1/3, None) — retrying
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DeepSeek batch of 25 failed (attempt 2/3, None) — retrying
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DeepSeek batch of 25 failed (attempt 3/3, None) — retrying
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1475 labelled, 62 calls (3 failed), 0 from cache
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1725 labelled, 72 calls (3 failed), 0 from cache
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1975 labelled, 82 calls (3 failed), 0 from cache
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WARNING llm_client: DeepSeek HTTP 502: <html>
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<head><title>502 Bad Gateway</title></head>
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<body>
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<center><h1>502 Bad Gateway</h1></center>
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<hr><center>nginx</center>
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</body>
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</html>
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DeepSeek batch of 25 failed (attempt 1/3, (1790538226.2151284, 'http_502')) — retrying
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2225 labelled, 93 calls (4 failed), 0 from cache
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2475 labelled, 103 calls (4 failed), 0 from cache
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2725 labelled, 113 calls (4 failed), 0 from cache
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2975 labelled, 123 calls (4 failed), 0 from cache
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3225 labelled, 133 calls (4 failed), 0 from cache
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3400 labelled, 140 calls (4 failed), 0 from cache
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this run: 140 calls, 4 failed, 3400 headlines labelled
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9650 labelled headlines
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year n bear irrel bull relevant mean xau
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2009 10 0 10 0 0.0% +0.000
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2010 10 0 10 0 0.0% +0.000
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2011 10 0 10 0 0.0% +0.000
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2012 2 0 2 0 0.0% +0.000
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2015 13 0 13 0 0.0% +0.000
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2016 6 0 6 0 0.0% +0.000
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2017 33 0 33 0 0.0% +0.000
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2018 19 0 19 0 0.0% +0.000
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2019 653 48 423 135 28.0% +0.073
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2020 701 58 438 139 28.1% +0.075
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2021 790 71 562 103 22.0% +0.025
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2022 1091 127 641 207 30.6% +0.037
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2023 1184 121 731 225 29.2% +0.045
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2024 1270 106 753 307 32.5% +0.086
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2025 2010 188 953 660 42.2% +0.130
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2026 1848 316 823 495 43.9% +0.042
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(relevant = |xau| >= 0.25, irrel = |xau| <= 0.10, the rest is the grey zone)
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